Spa selections 2019: Saratoga July 27
by Joseph Aiello
In Spa Selections, Saratoga on-site correspondent Joseph Aiello provides picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!
Race 8 – Alw 92000n1x
1. #5 Fortune’s Fool (2-1) – Just has a bit more speed than the rest of this field, and can sit off his leaders to the inside and take over late
2. #9 Overdeliver (3-1) – Distance cut back should be a plus, and optimal running style from his race two back could be good enough here
3. #4 Chateau (4-1) – Will get pressure from Runforthemunnings from his inside, but should still be able to hold on late to stay in the money
Race 9 – Grade I Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap
1. #1 Mitole (1-1) – This will be the toughest test for this spectacular sprinter, with all signs pointing to some trouble here, but still the best bet in good form
2. #4 Firenze Fire (7-2) – With last year’s Vanderbilt winner Imperial Hint seemingly in off form, this classy colt can come from mid pack if Strike Power forces Mitole to go too fast early
3. #7 Do Share (12-1) – Would need some serious fractions and maybe Imperial Hint to leave as well, but loves this distance and his Tom Fool win could beat this field as well
Race 10 – Grade II Bowling Green Stakes
1. #5 Channel Maker (7-2) – In what is a loaded field, this gelding by English Channel has been the most consistent, including two good tries at the Spa last year and a returning Joel Rosario
2. #12 Focus Group (8-1) – Chad Brown has Jose Ortiz on Ya Primo, but this horse seems to like Saratoga with three wins in five tries
3. #13 Bigger Picture (10-1) – Good class and has been running well this year, plus seems to like softer surfaces and should be great value
Race 11 – Grade II Jim Dandy Stakes
1. #6 War of Will (5-2) – Will stalk Global Campaign with Tax, then with the right fractions should takeover in the stretch to hold off some closers at the wire
2. #4 Global Campaign (2-1) – The entire race hinges on how fast Luis Saez takes this colt by Curlin out in; too fast and its Laughing Fox and Tacitus, slow and its him and War of Will
3. #5 Tacitus (7-5) – Overall the most consistent player in this race, but may hinge too much on what goes on in front; the right scenario sets up for this colt and Laughing Fox to close late