Charles Town picks and horses to watch: April 29

Charles Town Races has an eight-race card on tap for this evening. Post time for the opener is 7:00 p.m., and we’ve got Charles Town picks.

Carryovers: Jackpot Pick 6, $94,895

Check out our other handicapping here!

RACE

Race 6

CONTENDERS

1-4-7-6

ANALYSIS

Top choice #1 Math Man Marco (5-2) sure looked good winning his debut by seven lengths back in January. His two-turn follow-up was not good, but last out, shortened back to 4 1/2 furlongs, he responded with a solid effort, leading much of the way before finishing third by just a neck. That was on the slop, and in his second start off a bit of a freshening, plus he’s hoping on a fast track, this one can take a step forward today. Breaking from the one-hole, he figures to be on the engine… Speaking of good-looking debuts, #4 Burr Hill Bullet (9-5) sure delivered one, posting a front-running two-length win last out. That came on the same card as the allowance in which Math Man Marco ran and was two-fifths faster… #7 Zep (6-1) finished strongly last time to be second, just ahead of Math Man Marco. He’ll make his third start off a freshening here… #6 Jefferson Native (7-2) hasn’t missed by much in two tries versus similar. Do note, though, that last time, he pressed Math Man Marco throughout and never could get by…

Race 7

7-6-3-5

A little over a year ago, #7 Dixie Drawl (3-1) was finishing third in a stake at Laurel, and he came back from that to win a third-level allowance there. He was given a break after a disappointing try in a Delaware Park stake last July, and since returning, he’s had a couple of OK tries but nothing great. Today, though, he’s getting major class relief, and even a return to the race he ran two back would probably get the money. Trainer Dale Capuano entices the hot-riding Carlos Lopez (29% at the meet) to take the mount… Speaking of benefiting from class relief, #6 Outlier (9-5) certainly did; after racing at Keeneland and the Fair Grounds, he turned his first local try into a runaway, nine-length win last out. There’s every reason to expect him to be a factor again… One thing about #3 Ishihara (7-2): he likes to win. The Jeff Runco trainee has won six of 13 career starts, hasn’t been worse than third in his last seven, and won nicely last out… We’ll be curious to see #5 Midnight Act (4-1) in this spot. He’s been competitive at this level at Penn National without winning. How he does here will be an interesting class barometer…

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