Charles Town picks and analysis: October 1

Charles Town has an eight-race Saturday card. Post time is 7:00 p.m. Good luck!

Carryovers: Jackpot Pick 6 $73,732

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RACE 1

4-3-1-2

In the opener on the first Saturday night card in October, a one-turn dash for state-bred $5,000 claiming fillies and mares, #4 Love to Zoom (9-5) gets favorable draw in competitive group and gets the nod for mild upset for trainer Kevin Joy. #3 Carnival Lucky (5-2) prevailed three starts back and gets chance to atone for last two tries for trainer David Walters. #1 How Is She (7-5) was solid second last out after winning two back and will likely be lukewarm favorite here despite tricky rail draw. #2 Magnificent Rocket (6-1) could complete several gimmicks at a generous price in compact field.

RACE 2

6-3-2-1

In this interesting, one-turn maiden $5,000 claiming event for older sorts, #6 Forever the Boss (5-2) has been second once, third once and fourth twice in three locals tries and could finally garner his diploma in this spot. #3 Time to Wish (7-2) was solid second at the level in local debut last out and could be primed to graduate here for trainer Anthony Farrior. #2 Issuing Justice (7-5) makes local debut off a series of tries against similar in Pennsylvania and give Farrior chance to run one-two in this spot. #1 Motivated Speaker (5-1) has shown promise at the level for trainer Andrea Covello and looms a factor if able to overcome tricky rail draw.

RACE 3

4-2-1-3

In this competitive, one-turn starter allowance for fillies and mares, #4 Tiz the Reason (9-5) has been consistent sort all season for trainer Ronney Brown and gets nod for mild upset in this wide-open affair. #2 Ding Ding (8-5) exits tough allowance last out after winning one two back for trainer Javier Contreras and likely assumes tepid favorite’s role here. #1 Willow Moon (5-2) returns after several starts elsewhere for trainer Joan Reynolds and looms a factor despite tricky rail draw. #3 Dimitri’s Romance (12-1) should be prominent throughout for trainer Tim Shanley.

RACE 4

3-7-6-1

In this intriguing, two-turn maiden special weight event for older runners, #3 Benny the Book (8-5) was sharp second in local debut for trainer Stacey Viands and looks poised to graduate as solid favorite here. #7 Love Machine (2-1) makes local debut for trainer Dale Capuano off two modest tries elsewhere and could be a factor despite outside draw. #6 Irish McDougal (4-1) has yet to hit the board in two tries at the level over two different ovals but merits respect here for trainer Mike Jones, Jr. #1 Bobbys Case Load (10-1) makes career debut for trainer Ollie Figgins, III but could complete several gimmicks with ground saving trip from favorable rail spot.

RACE 5

8-5-3-7

In this competitive, one-turn allowance dash for state-breds, #8 Drinkwiththestars (6-5) was solid second last out after winning his first two starts for trainer Ronney Brown and gets favorable outside draw with ideal chance to atone at a short price here. #5 Strong Fiber (3-1) rebounded from modest outing in belated seasonal debut to win last out for trainer John McKee and could forge mild upset here in repeat bid. #3 Hopping Henry (5-2) is still looking to regain stakes-winning freshman form for trainer Michael Sterling. #7 Forever Takes Time (20-1) gets favorable post and could complete several gimmicks at a big price here.

RACE 6

2-1-3-4

In this interesting, two-turn allowance for fillies and mares, #2 Polished Gem (5-2) was second two starts back here and returns from Delaware Park with genuine mild upset potential. #1 Sommer Velvet (9-5) makes local debut for trainer Anthony Farrior off claiming score at Timonium last out and could repeat here as the tepid choice. #3 Devilish Affair (7-2) makes local debut for trainer Norm Cash but seeks to overcome three-month respite in this spot. #4 Walk a Fine Line (6-1) could complete several gimmicks at a generous price in this event for trainer Javier Contreras.

RACE 7

1-9-6-4

In this interesting and competitive, two-turn allowance for fillies and mares, #1 Villaregia (5-2) was second and third in last two local tries before heading to Delaware Park and gets favorable rail draw here for trainer Norm Cash. #9 Dare Me (7-2) also arrived from Delaware Park and makes local debut for trainer Greg Compton and could prevail here despite outside post draw. #6 Merci Road (3-1) graduated against maiden claimers at Colonial Downs last out for trainer Anthony Farrior and appears to be formidable against winners. #4 Overcooked (6-1) graduated against maiden special weight company here last out for trainer Javier Contreras and could post repeat score at a decent price here.

RACE 8

2-3-5-1

In the Saturday night finale, a two-turn event for $4,000 claiming fillies and mares, #2 Chit Chat Girl (9-5) has enough speed to gain command through the clubhouse turn and gets the nod for mild upset here. #3 U S Funds (8-5) likely assumes the favorite’s role in the nightcap and will be a presence throughout for owner-trainer MIguel Ramos Agosto. #5 Moonlight Miss (9-2) has been third in each of last two for trainer Tim Shanley but could improve on those finishes here. #1 Upsy Daisy Do (10-1) gets favorable inside draw and could complete several gimmicks at a generous price in the Saturday nightcap.

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