Top choice #4 Royal Pain (7-2) looks to be coming into this allowance contest in the right way. The Jamey Johnson trainee makes his third start off a layoff here and just the second of his career going two turns; his other two-turn try resulted in a six-length win. His last was a good step forward, and in his third off the bench, he has the right to improve. He probably won’t control this one up front the way he did his prior two-turn try, but his form says he can as well stalk and pounce… The speedy #6 Icing (8-5) led ’em all the way to an easy win in last, and if he gets away again, he should take them a long way… If a heated pace develops, two horses who could benefit are #5 Personable (4-1) and #2 Juba Bound (9-2). The latter ran a clunker last time out but had been in good form prior, while the former has only been out of the money once in seven lifetime outings…