Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Feb. 23?
The Biz- February 23, 2023
For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Laurel Park are hot right now?
The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).
The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider or trainer with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.
To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 30 days. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.
Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 26 qualifying jockeys and 29 qualifying trainers.
JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS
Here are the top Laurel Park jockeys from the last 30 days:
| Name | Starts | Win Pct. | ITM Pct. | ROI | Composite score |
| Hernandez Jorge F | 19 | 16% | 37% | 469% | 339 |
| Butterfly Bryson L | 20 | 20% | 60% | 169% | 179 |
| Monterrey Richard | 18 | 22% | 33% | 168% | 169 |
| Bocachica Arnaldo | 17 | 35% | 71% | 29% | 120 |
| Gomez Kevin | 21 | 24% | 52% | 54% | 113 |
| Araujo Denis | 16 | 25% | 44% | 57% | 113 |
| Humphrey William | 33 | 24% | 48% | 35% | 101 |
| Batista Luis Angel | 11 | 18% | 18% | 66% | 99 |
NOTES This week’s composite scores range from 339 (!) down to -2. The median is 61… A funny thing happens when you pilot home a 100-1 horse, as Jorge Hernandez did this past week aboard Rascally Rebel for Mario Serey: you end up with a +469% ROI and a composite score of 339… Bryson Butterfly led all riders last week with a 189 composite score; though he didn’t win this week, he finished in the money with four of seven starters… Butterfly, Richard Monterrey, Arnaldo Bocachica, Luis Angel Batista, and William Humphrey all were on the list last week and remain so…
TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS
Here are the top Laurel Park trainers from the last 30 days:
| Name | Starts | Win Pct. | ITM Pct. | ROI | Composite score |
| Serey Jr Mario | 26 | 15% | 19% | 422% | 286 |
| Farrior Anthony | 20 | 35% | 70% | 89% | 146 |
| Capuano Phillip | 12 | 25% | 50% | 121% | 145 |
| Gorham Michael E | 12 | 33% | 58% | 72% | 130 |
| Sanchez-Salomon R | 30 | 27% | 47% | 79% | 123 |
| Smith Hamilton A | 16 | 38% | 81% | 30% | 121 |
| Corrales Jose | 18 | 17% | 22% | 43% | 83 |
| Mohan David R | 10 | 20% | 40% | 23% | 82 |
NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 286 to 10; the median score is 55.5… Serey, who trains Rascally Rebel, had a 286 composite powered by a +422% ROI… Last week’s leader, Phill Capuano, is third this week… Jamie Ness, whose 11 wins in the last 30 days are more than any other trainer’s, is just outside the top group with a score of 79.. Jose Corrales and David Mohan are new to the list, as Ness, Lacey Gaudet and John Robb slide off for the week… Farrior is 7-for-20 in the last 30 days, and Mike Gorham is 4-for-12, while Ham Smith is 6-for-16… Every qualifying trainer outside this group has a negative ROI the last 30 days…
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