Charles Town: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 1?

  • userThe Biz
  • dateMarch 1, 2023

For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Charles Town are hot right now?

The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).

The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.

To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 30 days. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.

Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 26 qualifying jockeys and 17 qualifying trainers.

JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top CT jockeys from the last 30 days:

NameStartsWin Pct.ITM Pct.ROIComposite score
Nunez Juan Mauricio1020%30%170%180
Baez Jan M4013%28%134%149
Latchman Reshawn5629%61%36%101
Batista Luis Angel2110%38%56%95
Hiraldo Christian528%40%50%90
Mendez Marshall7621%54%18%80
Peltroche Fredy5010%46%23%74
Acosta J D3318%48%14%73

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying jockeys range from 180 to -18; the median is 44.5… Newcomer Juan Mauricio Nunez has two wins, one of which returned $47 to help place him at the top of the heap… Jan Baez led last week’s list and continues to be highly rated; he is one of six on the list for the second consecutive week, with Nunez and Marshall Mendez the only newcomers… Arnaldo Bocachica led all local riders with 17 wins in the last 30 days, one more than Mendez and Reshawn Latchman. Latchman’s 29% strike rate is tops among qualifying riders with at least 10 starts… Bocachica’s score is 47… One rider not in the top eight, Victor Rodriguez, also had a positive ROI and has a score of 58…

TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top CT trainers from the last 30 days:

NameStartsWin Pct.ITM Pct.ROIComposite score
Lucas Anthony138%46%138%147
Contreras Javier2326%57%31%99
Figgins III Ollie L1729%59%21%96
Pennella Rhea M1323%62%-10%72
Johnson Jamey R1020%70%-14%69
Petty Kristy1817%50%-1%67
Ramosagosto Miguel1225%42%-11%65

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 147 to -6; the median score is 50… Anthony Farrior led all local trainers with 12 wins in the last 30 days, two more than Jeff Runco; their scores are 28 and 39, respectively… Anthony Lucas has only one win this season, but for purposes of this list, he made it count; Sister’s Duty paid $62 to win Feb. 22… Lucas, Rhea Pennella, and Jamey Johnson are new to the top group this week, with Mike Jones, Jr. and Timothy Shanley sliding out… The top three here are the only local trainers to have a positive ROI the last 30 days, meaning that if you had bet on all of their horses to win, you would have made a flat-bet profit…

LATEST NEWS