Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 2? * The Racing Biz

Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 2?

The Biz
March 2, 2023

For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Laurel Park are hot right now?

The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).

The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider or trainer with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.

To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 30 days. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.

Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 26 qualifying jockeys and 21 qualifying trainers.

JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top Laurel Park jockeys from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Hernandez Jorge F	16	19%	38%	576%	405
Rivera Jr Luis R	13	23%	38%	118%	143
Batista Luis Angel	10	20%	20%	83%	112
Gomez Kevin	23	22%	52%	40%	103
Araujo Denis	19	21%	42%	32%	93
Briceno Jean Gregor	14	14%	43%	31%	84
Perez Xavier	29	24%	66%	-12%	81
Alvelo Jean C	31	19%	42%	13%	79
Monterrey Richard	17	12%	18%	35%	73

NOTES This week’s composite scores range from 405 down to -5. The median is 63… Jorge Hernandez remains in the top spot for the second consecutive week, the result, primarily, of piloting 100-1 winner home two weeks ago… Hernandez is one of several atop the list for the second straight week; others include Luis Angel Batista, Kevin Gomez, Denis Araujo, and Richard Monterrey… Jaime Rodriguez leads all Laurel riders with 14 winners in the last 30 days, and he has a composite score of 65… Jeiron Barbosa’s (composite score: 33) 71 mounts are the most….

TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top Laurel Park trainers from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Serey Jr Mario	20	15%	15%	529%	342
Farrior Anthony	21	29%	67%	108%	149
Sanchez-Salomon R	33	30%	52%	98%	138
Corrales Jose	22	18%	45%	76%	111
Smith Hamilton A	15	33%	73%	-15%	89
Ness Jamie	43	23%	74%	0%	87
Capuano Phillip	12	25%	42%	20%	87

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 342 to 1; the median score is 49… Mario Serey trains Rascally Rebel, the horse Hernandez rode to a 100-1 upset, and is atop the list for the second straight week though shut out last week… Anthony Farrior and Rudy Sanchez-Salomon led all local trainers with 10 wins in the last month… Ness’s 43 starts are 10 more than any other trainer… Michael Gorham, just outside the top third with a composite of 79, is the only other trainer with a positive wagering ROI (meaning betting all of his runners to win would have netted you a profit)… Hamilton Smith’s 33% strike rate the last 30 days is the highest of any trainer with at least 10 starts…

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