Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 17? * The Racing Biz

Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 17?

The Biz
March 17, 2023

For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Laurel Park are hot right now?

The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).

The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider or trainer with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.

To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 14 race cards. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.

Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 25 qualifying jockeys and 16 qualifying trainers.

JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top Laurel Park jockeys from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Hernandez Jorge F	12	17%	25%	777%	514
Monterrey Richard	10	30%	30%	129%	155
Concepcion Axel	18	28%	44%	92%	137
Lyapustina Tais	15	20%	40%	59%	106
Rivera Jr Luis R	34	18%	38%	54%	100
Rodriguez Jaime	75	27%	65%	8%	96
Ortiz Yomar Orlando	25	24%	32%	20%	85
Gomez Kevin	27	15%	48%	9%	75

NOTES This week’s composite scores range from 428 down to 1. The median is 55… Hernandez, rider of a 100-1 winner, continues at the top but is getting limited opportunities to ride… Youngsters Axel Concepcion and Luis Rivera, Jr. are both making an impression with positive ROIs (meaning that a bet on all of their mounts would have netted you a profit) and solid win percentages… Other riders not in the top third by composite score that have positive ROIs are J. D. Acosta (composite: 67), with an ROI of +27%, and Jean Briceno (composite: 57), whose ROI is right at break-even…

TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top Laurel Park trainers from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Serey Jr Mario	18	17%	33%	577%	378
Sanchez-Salomon R	31	35%	55%	121%	157
Ness Jamie	45	29%	80%	27%	110
Farrior Anthony	24	21%	67%	45%	107
Magee Kieron	21	29%	62%	-3%	87
Russell Brittany T	31	32%	71%	-17%	86
Smith Hamilton A	18	22%	56%	3%	80

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 378 to 18; the median score is 69.5… Mario Serey has won three races int the last 30 days, at odds of 10-1, 101-1, and 6-1… Jamie Ness led the colony with 13 wins in the last 30 days, while Rudy Sanchez-Salomon’s 35% win rate was tops among qualifying trainers; Ness’s horses finished in the money a remarkable 80% of the time… The only trainer not in this top group to have a positive ROI is Jose Corrales, whose runners produced an ROI of +17%; his composite score was 66…

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