Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 24?
The Biz- March 24, 2023
For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Laurel Park are hot right now?
The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).
The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider or trainer with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.
To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 14 race cards. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.
Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 20 qualifying jockeys and 16 qualifying trainers.
JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS
Here are the top Laurel Park jockeys from the last 30 days:
| Name | Starts | Win Pct. | ITM Pct. | ROI | Composite score |
| Rodriguez Jaime | 70 | 36% | 63% | 84% | 150 |
| Ortiz Yomar Orlando | 20 | 30% | 40% | 48% | 112 |
| Monterrey Richard | 10 | 20% | 20% | 57% | 97 |
| Acosta J D | 20 | 10% | 25% | 59% | 88 |
| Briceno Jean Gregor | 16 | 13% | 38% | 25% | 77 |
| Concepcion Axel | 31 | 16% | 39% | 12% | 74 |
| Barbosa Jeiron | 69 | 23% | 54% | -27% | 66 |
NOTES This week’s composite scores range from 150 down to -2. The median is 52… Jaime Rodriguez tops the roster following an 11-win weekend that included seven trips to the winner’s circle Friday. His 25 wins in the last month are nine more than any other rider; in second, with 16, is Jeiron Barbosa… Strong month for Yomar Ortiz, who won six races from just 20 starts… Luis Rivera, Jr., who has 62 points in the composite score, is the only rider not in this top group to have a positive wagering ROI (meaning a bet on each of his mounts would have netted you a flat-bet profit) the last month; his ROI was +2%…
TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS
Here are the top Laurel Park trainers from the last 30 days:
| Name | Starts | Win Pct. | ITM Pct. | ROI | Composite score |
| Ness Jamie | 38 | 45% | 76% | 84% | 156 |
| Sanchez-Salomon R | 33 | 33% | 52% | 107% | 146 |
| Mancilla Carlos A | 14 | 21% | 36% | 127% | 138 |
| Magee Kieron | 19 | 42% | 74% | 29% | 122 |
| Russell Brittany T | 32 | 28% | 63% | -31% | 71 |
| Smith Hamilton A | 17 | 18% | 53% | -6% | 70 |
NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 156 to 20; the median score is 49… Jamie Ness continues to win in bunches, with 17 wins the last month; Rudy Sanchez-Salomon is his nearest pursuer, with 11 wins the last month… WIth eight wins from 19 starts the last month, Kieron Magee is another trainer who’s been on a heater… The top four trainers in composite score are the only qualifying trainers to have positive ROIs the last month, with Carlos Mancilla tops in that category… Ness and Magee both have seen their runners finish in the money more than 70% of the time the last month…
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