ANALYSIS

Top choice #1 Castle Toy (5-1) will need to get out of the gate with alacrity, leaving from the one-hole, but if she manages that — and she usually does — she should have a big chance to take this relatively paceless group all the way. No shame in that last out defeat: winner Great Spirit has the look of a star and ran this miss into the ground. Todays’ rivals look more manageable… Morning line fave #3 Timetogetup (2-1) stacks up well enough versus these, but she’s winless in five outings at the trip, and that seems a direct result of her late-running style, which leaves her at the mercy of what happens up front…#4 Cherokee Castle (5-2) returns on short rest in a new barn, that of trainer Kevin Joy, and she arrives off a win. But she struggled against allowance foes prior, and that’s a dicey resume to accept short odds… Will the real #7 Siente La Brisa (8-1) please stand up? Are you the one with a bunch of 30-something Beyers, including last out? Or the one who ripped off a 64 three back? The latter fig could win here; the former will not…