Nick’s Picks: Colonial Downs picks August 11, 2023

Nick’s Picks is back with Colonial Downs picks and analysis during the 2022 live meeting.

As he has done every year since Colonial Downs opened — all the way back in 1997 — Nick Hahn will share his picks and analysis, plus news and notes and opinions on the Colonial meet. There is no better guide to racing in New Kent than Nick Hahn!

This year’s Colonial Downs meet will feature some things that are new and some that are familiar. Familiar trainer faces include Colonial regulars Graham Motion, Karen Godsey, Kelsey Danner, Mike Tomlinson and Mike Trombetta, along with multiple leading trainer Michael Stidham.

Nick’s Picks Play of the Day

Having stumbled into enough doubles to strike, I’m emboldened to take a shot at the Pick 6 with a 15% takeout.  Look for the 4th race AE with #12 Queen Aiko to start it off.  CALL IT—Race 4, $1 Old Dominion Pick 6, 5,12 with 5,10 with 8,9 with 4 with 1,8 with 3,4,8 (Cost $48)

On the jockey side, look for defending champion Jevian Toledo, who is looking forward to a busy summer in New Kent; Colonial’s all-time leading jockey Horacio Karamanos; Antonio Gallardo, a perennial top rider at Tampa Bay Downs in the winter months; Adam Beschizza; and Joe Rocco, Jr.

CHECK OUT THE LATEST OFF TO THE RACES RADIO!

RACE 1

3RIVER CITY ROCKERA mile and a sixteenth on the dirt is foreign to everybody here, so prefer the class droppers here.
5VOODOO PRIESTESS
2NOBLE ATTITUDE

RACE 2

6COOLKIDTurf sprinting maidens force bettors to study breeding.  Don’t expect two-year-olds to pass each other much.
2LOVE IN MAY
1NOBLE ONE

RACE 3

1JEBYDanner maiden #1 drops into claiming ranks after pitted against tougher foes in Florida and good CNL opener.
8BLIND EYE
2KAMIKAZE FOX

RACE 4

12QUEEN AIKOLook for Queen Aiko off the AEs. Otherwise like #5 for Angel Rod, the all around horseman, improving.
5FLUFFY
1PERTURB

RACE 5

10GREAT BRITAINLots of talent up for claim but like the recent consistency of English Channel gelding #10.
5SCANNO
3SEVEN CHANNELS

RACE 6

9HIDDEN VASEDanner has been spotting a Colonial start for this maiden filly #9 for weeks with Missy not far behind.
8MISSY BOSS
5CALL ANOTHER PLAY

RACE 7

4SINGALONGKlesaris having a great Colonial honeymoon gets Special K on an improving Tonalist filly #4.
8SATISFIED
3LOOKIN AT KISSES

RACE 8

1CASTAGNOIf claimers can run back to previous efforts, then Castagno should prevail here.  He’s shown that before.
8NOBLE CONQUEST
3VINTNER

RACE 9

3LUCA DREW THE ACEJuly 11th, 2022, Special K and Luca team up to a $105.20 win ticket and likely the largest exacta in CNL history. Shhh!
4HERD IMMUNITY
8MY BOY BLUE

STEEPLECHASE RACES (prior to main card, non-wagering events)

RACE 10

1RISK TAKINGNew career for former Withers winner and Preakness starter.  Jumps will be new but all maidens here.
3BE YOURSELF
4PRESS PAUSE

RACE 11 – RANDOLPH ROUSE S.

4MET IN MIAMIA near miss at Percy Warner after a win earlier this spring makes Dalton rematch of several redeeming.
3BERCASA
7DURRAGH

RACE 12

8NEW APPOINTMENTIn large fields, Brion mare has had respectable placings except for last outing and rider Mell will finish well.
6SEISMIC WAVE
7BALTIMORE KID

NICKS’ NOTES

HEADING TO THE TRACK? Print a PDF of Nick’s Picks so you’re ready to make some money.

TODAY’S CARRYOVERS

  • None

TITLES UNDECIDED —  Just as we thought jockey Horacio Karamanos was drawing off in the jockey standings, something we’ve seen so many times before, Antonio Gallardo and Mychel Sanchez have drawn even, all with 13 wins, just two ahead of Jorge Ruiz.

The trainers’ race is nearly equally contentious. Michael Trombetta leads with six wins, followed by Mark Casse with five wins and Michael Stidham and Kelsey Danner with four apiece.

BAND OR BRED? Is it the name of a horse? Or the name of a band?

Today it’s… Strawberry Moon: Band or bred?

Last out: Good Shot Judy is a Williamsburg-based jazz band named after the mother of two of its members.  When playing golf, an enthusiastic friend would shout, “Good Shot Judy” and the name stuck.

LISTEN UP! Off to the Races Radio is on every Saturday morning at 10:00 a.m.! You can find it:

  • On ESPN Richmond (106.1 FM) for a two-hour program each Saturday during the Colonial meet and one hour thereafter straight through Breeders’ Cup!
  • On ESPN Harrisonburg (106.9 FM and 1360 AM) for one hour each Saturday covering the Colonial Downs Thoroughbred meet and the Shenandoah Downs harness meet!
  • On Baltimore Positive (1570 AM) every Saturday morning straight through Breeders’ Cup!

YOUNG FOGIE: Former Jockey Ryan Fogelsonger joins Off to the Races-Virginia at 10:30 a.m. each Saturday! He was the 2002 Eclipse Award winner as outstanding apprentice rider.

NICK’S PIC OF THE DAY

In the first steeplechase event of the day (11:45 post), 2021 Preakness starter Risk Taking (above) will make his first start over the hurdles.  Risk Taking won the Withers at Aqueduct and finished eighth in the 2021 Preakness, won by Rombauer.

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