Spa selections 2023: Saratoga picks august 19

In Spa Selections, Saratoga correspondent Joseph Aiello provides Saratoga picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!

Follow along all meet with all the exciting action (and good betting opportunities)!

Race 7 – Grade II Lake Placid Stakes

1. #8 Prerequisite (9-2) – Prefers getting the lead, but wouldn’t be surprising to see Irad Ortiz let Gloria’s Princess and Heavenly Sunday go early leaving this filly in a good stalking position

2. #3 Gloria’s Princess (9-2) – This Brendan Walsh trainee should be battling Heavenly Sunday for the lead here, and has show the ability to be dangerous if she gets softer early fractions

3. #2 Aspray (7-2) – Chad Brown highlighted this filly by Quality Road as one that should improve getting a more manageable distance, previously undefeated before going ten furlongs

4. #1 Heavenly Sunday (5-1) – Will likely be near the lead, but can win sitting second or third and will have a positional advantage on Tax Implications and Surge Capacity in this tough field

Race 8 – OC 80000b

1. #1 Movie Moxy (4-1) – Probably ran her best last time out at this distance, and if there is any trainer to take down classier fillies and mares here, it is Linda Rice with Jose Ortiz

2. #7 Nostalgic (3-1) – Nearly pulled off a nice stretch run victory last time over this track, and could certainly be the winner with another top flight effort considering her back class

3. #3 Gerrymander (5-2) – This one has typically run out of some steam when going a mile and further, so may need to sit in a stalking position with Rosario rather than taking the early lead

4. #4 Favor (6-1) – Has won twice at this distance with a few races that could put her in the mix, but may be a slight notch below the top contenders even if she runs her best 

Race 9 – Grade I Alabama Stakes

1. #2 Wet Paint (2-1) – Really had to work for her Coaching Club American Oaks win last time, but remains a tad better than this field even if she is beatable and the price will be short

2. #3 Julia Shining (5-1) – This Pletcher trainee by Curlin should have no issue with the distance, but her success may hinge on her positioning by Saez early with some versatility 

3. #7 Gambling Girl (8-1) – This filly could be flying under the radar at just the right time, and should love the extra distance with a more preferred ground-saving trip with winning chances

4. #1 Sacred Wish (8-1) – Ran a very admirable second in the Coaching Club last time, eventually caught by Wet Paint, but will be better off coming from mid pack instead of stalking 

Race 10 – OC 62500n2x

1. #9 Verbal (5-2) – The top tier connections of Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz running for Juddmonte gives this gelding by Flintshire a leg up on the others here

2. #2 Napoleonic War (7-2) – The other Chad Brown trainee who keeps Flavian Prat and has a few races that compare favorably to this field is tough to pass up if he gets the right trip 

3. #8 Floki’s Flight (15-1) – This Dale Romans long shot could have the lead, and even though he may be better on dirt, holding off Call Me Harry and Storm the Court early give him a chance

4. #5 Whisper Not (9-2) – Made a nice closing move over this track last time out in a win, generally running well against this class with an underrated jockey trainer combo for the meet

Race 11 – MC 40000

1. #10 Henson (8-5) – If this Brad Cox trainee takes to the turf, he showed the most in his debut here and should be good enough to best this unproven group 

2. #6 Kid Emerald (8-1) – Probably stretched out a bit too far last time when dropping to maiden claimers, but gets a more manageable distance here and should be competitive 

3. #4 Heroneandonly (10-1) – Generally has run better on the turf and returns to his preferred surface here, plus drops back down to claiming company with a chance to run well

4. #5 Okaloosa (5-1) – This first time starter mainly gets a bump over these others due to an overall weaker field, so give this one a shot with the potential for a higher ceiling

  • Tiz the Law
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