Delaware Park picks and analysis: September 7, 2023

Live racing at Delaware Park kicks off May 24 and runs through late October.

Once again this year, we will have Delaware Park picks and analysis for every day of live racing at the venerable track. Today’s card features eight races, and first post is 12:30 EDT.

Today’s carryovers: None

Race #1 Picks: 6-1-5-3

In this $6250 maiden claiming race for fillies and mares at one mile, #6 Don’t Annoy Me (6-5) is the only horse in the race that has shown much speed. She is no world beater, but if she can just repeat some of her earlier races she should be able to beat this field. #1 Midnight in Prague (5-1) showed a little life in a turf race and is getting Lasix today. She could be in the picture. #5 La Santa Clara (8-5) Inherits the third position by default as she showed some speed two back.

Race #2 Picks: 2-6-5-7

In this $10,000 claiming race at one mile, #2 Kidyounot (6-1) may have the pace all to himself today. He does not have the class of some others in here and was beaten by Great Faces earlier this year when he got caught in a duel but we think race will set up well for him and we are putting him on top. #6 Conspiracy Fact (2-1) has some decent races here at Delaware since coming from Oaklawn Park. He will now take a big class drop and being freshened and fits well with this group. A top contender. #5 What’s to Blame (9-2) almost won here last time in a closing effort and should be in the mix.

Race #3 Picks: 7-5-3-1

In this $38,000 maiden race for fillies and mares at 1 1/16 miles on the turf, #7 Heavenly Appointed (3-2) ran wellafter getting bumped and placed second in her debut here at Delaware.  She ran decent races at Saratoga and Colonial Downs. Now she is returning to Delaware and looks to be the best of this group. #5 Evita (4-1) faltered on the turf in New York before coming to Delaware and running well in a race taken off the turf. Now her connections are returning to the turf, which means they might think that’s her preferred surface. #3 Nonna’s Tiramisu (2-1) ran well here on the turf last time with a 71 speed figure. A repeat of that effort will put her in position to compete for the win.

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Race #4 Picks: 5-7-2-6

In this $10,000 claiming race at one mile, #5 Just Plain Ornery (9-5) is taking a class drop. He has early speed and should be able to control the pace. He has superior speed figures compared to the rest of this field. #7 Spectrier (6-1) just missed at this level last time out at Laurel. Prior to that he had two good races here at Delaware. He seems to have found a level where he can be consistently competitive. #2 Wonder Water (5-2) has run fairly well at Delaware with three place finishes and two show finishes in nine starts.

Race #5 Picks: 8-2-3-5

In this $25,000 maiden claiming race for fillies at 5 ½ furlongs, #8 Old Bay (5-2) has been knocking on the door with two second-place finishes in two starts. Now adding blinkers and moving down to the claiming ranks and barring a big race from one of the first-time-starters, she looks like the one to beat. #2 Boh’s N O’s. (3-1) is also moving down to the claiming ranks.  She will try to turn the tables on Old Bay, who finished ahead of her previously. Anthony Pecoraro has won at a 31% rate in 16 starts with horses making their second start. #3 Wilpic (6-1) has a nice workout line, including a couple five -furlong works. She could be primed and ready to go.

Joe’s Notes

  • Wednesday’s card saw three horses win at odds-on, the lowest being 1-5 Nottoway in the fifth…
  • Despite Nottoway’s low odds, the $1 exacta returned $24.10, courtesy of 65-1 shot Taino, who finished second…

Race #6 Picks: 9-5-6-2

In this $6250 N2L claiming race for fillies and mares at one mile and 70 yards, #9 My Jo Jo (9-2) is a closer who showed some late speed on a race that was taken off the turf here in June. She is stepping down in class and if she can get a decent start she has a shot to beat this field. #5 My Cajun Lady (2-1) has been running against much tougher and has respectable speed figures. She has not run this far on the dirt so it is unknown if she will want the distance. #6 South Pacific (5-2) ran a decent race at Laurel and fits well here.

Race #7 Picks: 7-2-4-6

In this #38,000 first level allowance race for fillies and mares at one mile and 70 yards on the turf, #7 Mademoisellejackie (4-1) will be making her second start after a break and her first start at Delaware. She had some good races on the turf in Florida, and although she finished behind a couple of today’s foes last time out, we expect improvement in her second back after the layoff. #2 Stern Chaser (9-5) improved in her second race back this year at Laurel. She faced a tough competitor in her last race who ran an 82 speed figure. If she repeats that race she could win today.  #4 Sister Cloudy (5-2) looks like an improving three-year-old and is running for a 32% trainer. She looks dangerous.

Race #8 Picks: 6-1-5-7

In this $25,000 maiden claiming race for two-year-olds at one mile, #6 Street Rockin (3-1) will be making his first start on the dirt after a solid effort on the turf. He showed he can handle a mile and should improve off his debut effort. We have him on top. #1 Work Hard (2-1) will be making his first dirt start after being competitive against good company on the turf. If he likes running on dirt he will be in the mix. #5 Play Hard (4-1) is moving back to maiden claiming after trying maiden competition. Has run the best route race on the dirt of any horse in the field.

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