Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 11, 2023

Live racing at Delaware Park kicks off May 24 and runs through late October.

Once again this year, we will have Delaware Park picks and analysis for every day of live racing at the venerable track. Today’s card features eight races, and first post is 12:30 EDT.

Today’s carryovers: None

Race #1 Picks: 5-3-2-6

In this $12,500 claiming race at one mile, #5 Senate Chamber (6-1) was running very well last year before taking a long break. He has been struggling to get back in form this year. He flashed speed on the turf in last and is now dropping and moving back to the dirt. This might be the recipe for a win today. #3 Sprinklehead (9-5) was in over his head at Saratoga but had some good races in Kentucky this summer. His speed figures are very solid, and he looks like a contender. #2 City Rage (5-2) has been in good form and has the meet’s leading trainer and jockey. One to consider.

Race #2 Picks: 1-7-2-3

In this $12,500 maiden claiming race for two-year-olds at six furlongs, #1 Drinkin N Dreaming (8-1) has showed speed in both his races and then faded badly. Now dropping all the way to $12,000 claimers and there is a chance his speed will hold given the competition he is facing today. #7 Coolkid (3-1) will try the dirt today after two turf races and a run on the synthetic surface. He did show some speed in last before flattening out and has a chance with this group. #2 Hay Hay Harry (5-2) is moving down the claiming ladder and is a contender after showing some speed at higher claiming levels.

Race #3 Picks: 2-5-6-7

In this $6250 claiming race at six furlongs, #2 No More Talk (4-1) is a nine-year-old who will be making his first start for Elliot Sullivan after the claim. He had some decent races at Saratoga this summer and may have a class edge over this group. We have him on top today. #5 Chris and Dave (3-1) will be making his first start for Michael Simone after the claim. He faded in the mud while running a route in last. If he can get a fast track today, he should be in the mix. #6 Justinspeightofit (2-1) won his last going away, running a 73 speed figure. He could win again if he can repeat that effort.

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Race #4 Picks: 5-10-14-3

In this $38,000 maiden special race for two-year-olds at 7 ½ furlongs on the turf, #5 Favorite Haunt (6-1) is the only horse that has run this distance on the turf. He ran evenly in that race but probably gained a lot from that experience. We think he will improve and we have him on top today. #10 Kinda Fonda Wanda (20-1) was closing well in a five-furlong sprint at Pimlico and looked like he wanted more distance. Had a sharp workout only three days ago and could be ready for a big run. #14 Rapture Bay (8-1) is an also eligible and if he draws in he should be considered. He was closing if a turf sprint at Monmouth and may want more ground.

Race #5 Picks: 6-5-1-3

In this $6250 claiming race for fillies and mares at one mile and 70 yards, #6 Shaolin (3-1) was running well with $10,000 claimers and is taking a class drop. This looks like a good spot, and we have her on top. #5 Seiver (2-1) is moving back to the dirt after trying the grass several times. The move down to $6250 claimers makes her a top contender. #1 Red Wine Time (8-1) is a deep closer that will need a fast pace, and if the horses up front falter, he could make an impact.

Joe’s Notes

  • Apprentice rider Axel Concepcion has received a pair of lengthy suspensions for careless riding after causing two horses to fall and unseat their riders in separate incidents. The first suspension is for 21 days from October 6 through October 26, and the second, for 30 days, is from November 2 through December 1.

Race #6 Picks: 4-8-2-14

In this $20,000 N2L claiming race at one mile and 70 yards on the turf, after winning a maiden race at Monmouth in June, #4 Carlin Clan (9-2) returned to a $50,000 starter allowance race at Aqueduct. He found that too tough and now he is coming to Delaware in what looks like a good spot for him to get a victory. He should be able to get the lead with this group and will be tough to catch. #8 Reel Well (6-1) has been running in allowance races but has not been able to get a win. Now dropping to the claiming ranks and his speed figures look good compared to most of the others in this group. A contender. #2 Summer Anthem (3-1) just missed in his last two. He is in better form than most of his foes and should be considered.

Race #7 Picks: 3-5-6-7

In this optional claiming/starter allowance race for fillies and mares at six furlongs, #3 Athena’s Wisdom (5-1) ran well at Monmouth when second in a first level allowance race in last. Since then she has a bullet work and appears to be in very good form. We have her on top today. #5 Awesome Pic (5-2) has been running well this year with three wins in nine races. She fits well here and is a contender. #6 Touisset (7-2) is the speed of the race and is likely the one the others will be chasing. She won her last race leading from start to finish and may be dangerous today,

Race #8 Picks: 1-4-6-8

In this $5000 claiming race at six furlongs, #1 Sneakiness (2-1) has been running well with better horses at Monmouth and should be able to defeat these bottom-level claimers. His speed figures are superior to his foes’ in this race.  #4 Apache (3-1) has some good races this year and should be in the mix if he runs his best. #6 Living Water (4-1) has some early speed and may be the best of the second tier of horses in this race. He may get a small piece of the pie by default.

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