Laurel Park jockeys and trainers to watch

Since Maryland racing shifted from Pimlico to Laurel Park in late September, no jockey has outrun his horses’ odds more than Jean Briceno, who is winning at a clip that provides 5.83 wins per 100 starts more than his runners’ odds suggest. Briceno is one of eight jockeys adding at least one victory per 100 starts.

Among trainers, Jose Corrales is winning at a rate that’s 9.08 wins per 100 starts above expectations.

The top 22 jockeys by starts – those who have made at least 35 starts – account for about 87 percent of victories recorded at Laurel this meet. Meanwhile, the top 36 trainers (with at least 20 starts) account for 66% of wins.

The Racing Biz analyzed the performance of each rider and trainer versus the takeout-adjusted odds on their runners. Each jockey’s and trainer’s wins were compared to their expected wins; for comparison purposes, they were then translated into a final “Added wins per 100 starts” metric.

LEADING JOCKEYS (added wins per 100 starts)

NameStartsActual winsExpected winsAdded wins/100 starts
Briceno J G83105.165.83
Boyce F871511.264.29
Chavez A3742.873.06
Rodriguez J1683227.772.52
Cruz A1752420.631.93
Barbosa J1622623.321.65
Hernandez J F5143.351.28
Alvelo J C7354.261.01

Briceno is 10-for-83 at the meet, easily outrunning odds that suggest he should have 5.16 victories. He’s followed by Forest Boyce (15 wins, 4.29 add per 100 starts), Andres Chavez (4, 3.06), Jaime Rodriguez (32, 2.52), and Angel Cruz (24, 1.93).

Corrales is one of 18 trainers winning at least one race per 100 starts above expectations. That group ranges in wins from Gina Perri (two wins, 4.48 added per 100 starts) to meet leader Jamie Ness (24, 7.39 added). Others at the top include Susan Cooney (3, 7.56), Lacey Gaudet (6, 7.46), and Carlos Mancilla (6, 7.04).

LEADING TRAINERS (added wins per 100 starts)

NameAdded wins/100 startsStartsActual winsExpected wins
Corrales Jose9.084484.01
Cooney Susan S7.562231.34
Gaudet Lacey7.462364.28
Ness Jamie7.39802418.09
Mancilla Carlos A7.043063.89
Sanchez-Salomon Rodolfo5.6777127.63
Howard David C4.702431.87
Perri Gina4.482021.10
Matz Michael R3.742643.03
Magee Kieron3.654197.51
Brion Keri3.392543.15
Ginter Raymond Jr3.013043.10
Albert Linda L2.862043.43
Cibelli Jane2.662543.33
Sillaman Richard P2.292843.36
Smith Hamilton A2.024465.11
Serey Mario Jr1.283843.52
Robb John J1.034354.56

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