Charles Town picks and analysis: December 16, 2023
Charles Town has an eight-race Saturday card. Post time is 7:00 p.m. Good luck!
CARRYOVERS
- Jackpot Pick 6, $2,095 (mandatory payout today)
Check out our other handicapping here!
RACE 1
1-2-5-3
In the Saturday night opener of the last card for the season at Charles Town in 2023, a two-turn event for West Virginia-bred $15,000 claimers, #1 Modern Day Romance (4-1) gets the favorable inside draw and also gets the nod for mild upset here for trainer Mike Jones, Jr. #2 Aldrinaline (5-2) tries older in the final start of his sophomore campaign for trainer Ronney Brown and looms the solid post time choice. #5 Chase Lil Me (7-2) arrives in good form for trainer Tim Collins and merits respect in this spot. #3 Orangeburg (9-2) certainly cannot be dismissed here and could complete several gimmicks for trainer Elizabeth Meehan.
RACE 2
8-6-5-1
In this interesting one-turn allowance dash for state-bred boys to cap the early daily double, #8 George (4-1) gets favorable outside draw and looks poised for mild upset here for trainer David Walters. #6 Ciderhouse Way (5-2) has been sharp recently and looms the solid choice in this competitive affair for trainer Vernon Greaves. #5 Nocashrefunds (3-1) has been consistent sort throughout his career for trainer M. Joanna Boggs and cannot be dismissed in this spot. #1 Karma Bus (7-2) definitely merits respect in this group despite tricky rail draw for trainer Ronney Brown.
- Sea Dancer gets valuable stakes win in CarouselSea Dancer, a younger half-sis to one of the top turf horses in the country, earned her first stakes win in Saturday’s Carousel at Laurel Park.
RACE 3
6-4-2-7
In this interesting and competitive one-turn allowance dash for fillies and mares, #6 Lunatic (5-2) prevailed nicely in second local outing after arriving from California and seeks second straight tally for trainer Jeff Runco. #4 Little Bit of That (7-2) won starter allowance event last out here for trainer Ronney Brown and looks to ascend and repeat in this spot. #2 Tiz the Reason (3-1) won two back and looks to atone for third-place finish last out while giving Brown outside chance to run one-two here. #7 Ghostly Squall (15-1) was solid second against claimers after exiting stakes for trainer Cynthia McKee and could complete several gimmicks at a very generous price.
RACE 4
1-3-9-2
In this rare, three-turn event for $5,000 claimers, #1 Curlin’s Thrill (7-2) won two back against similar and gets favorable rail draw with chance to end the campaign on a winning note for trainer Keith Brown. #3 Indian Buzz (4-1) won last out at Penn National and seeks second straight in this spot for trainer Brandon Kulp. #9 Hot N Spicy Love (4-1) won last out over the strip for trainer Jack Hurley and seeks second straight while looking to overcome outside draw. #2 Party Monster (15-1) was modest fifth last Saturday night in local debut for owner-trainer Collie Smith and could improve off that effort in a quick turnaround.
RACE 5
6-1-7-8
In this competitive two-turn allowance for older runners, #6 Alpha Chi Rho (6-5) won last out in second start back since return from Finger Lakes and looks poised for repeat as odds-on proposition for trainer Anthony Farrior. #1 Tap Secret (6-1) won two back and scratched out of a Thursday event while getting favorable inside draw here. #7 O’Conner Sunset (4-1) returns after two good efforts at Parx and certainly merits respect in this spot. #8 Tate (6-1) makes local debut after several good outings at Laurel Park and gives Farrior chance to run one-two here.
RACE 6
1-7-9-2
In this interesting two-turn event for $15,000 claimers, #1 Spunman (7-2) returns from allowance outing at Mountaineer Park and gets favorable rail draw for trainer Jeff Runco. #7 Ministry of Magic (4-1) prevailed last out against similar and seeks second straight for trainer Anthony Rideout II. #9 Remys Showtime (3-1) was solid second against allowance/optional claimers and merits respect here for trainer Mike Jones, Jr. #2 Great Days Ahead (5-1) exits allowance company and looks for first seasonal score for owner-trainer Derrick Parram.
- “Miracle” horse All Caps wins first in two yearsAll Caps nearly died from an infection two years ago. So how did she get to the winner’s circle at Charles Town Saturday? “A miracle,” says her owner.
RACE 7
6-7-10-12
In this very interesting one-turn maiden special weight dash for state-bred two-year-olds, #6 Time to Rock (3-1) makes career debut off a trio of ‘bullet’ works for trainer Stacey Viands of Parisian Diva fame and looks poised to fire at first asking. #7 Whale of a Run (7-2) was solid second in career debut for trainer Javier Contreras and merits genuine respect here. #10 Ride the Brand (8-1) was good fourth in debut outing and gets favorable outside draw here for trainer Tim Grams. #12 Time to Snooze (12-1) could take career debut here if he draws in off the also eligible lost for trainer Kristy Petty.
RACE 8
5-8-1-2
In this intriguing allowance event for fillies and mares, #5 Dulcimer Dame (5-2) looks to put finishing touches on superb season for trainer Anthony Farrior with another tally as the likely lukewarm choice. #8 Moonlit Shadow (7-2) has occasionally shown glimpses of full-sister Moonlit Song and seeks mild upset for trainer Tim Grams here. #1 Full Moon Lover (3-1) had usually fared better in one-turn events but gets favorable draw in this spot for trainer Ronney Brown. #2 Divine Fashion (4-1) has been consistent sort all season and gives Farrior decent chance to run one-turn in here.
RACE 9
4-1-2-9
In the Saturday night finale and the ultimate “get out” race for the entire year at Charles Town, #4 Velvet Ghost (3-1) gets the nod for mild upset in the nightcap for trainer Jose Corrales. #1 Never Compromise (9-5) has been an absolute win machine all year and gets the coveted rail as the likely post time choice. #2 Royal Thunder (12-1) has shown glimpses of promise in local outings and could complete several gimmicks at a very generous price. #9 Super Quality (5-1) has every right to make his presence known for trainer Mike Jones, Jr. in the 2023 finale.
LATEST NEWS
1st.”Modern Day Romance”has a chance but
I’m starting big,not with Sig but”Burr Hill Bullet”
may”Scare Dem”
2nd.”George”looms large,but”Karma Bus”may have enough.
3rd.Ya gotta be a “Lunatic”to bet against Barber and Bocachica’
but “Latchman”can catch a piece here.
4th.”Hot N Spicy Love”can come from way above
and “Indian Buzz”can make you a “Happy Charlie”
5th.Ginter has doubled his lifetime earnings this year
so I’ll give my”Unanimous Consent”that he will continue,but
Farrior could prove superior.
6th.Parram has recovered from the Wuhan Flu and
has some”Great Days Ahead”while”Rockin the Palace”tonight.
5th.”Road Lew”looked like road kill to both of us.
6th.Obviously we are too kind
to be”Overly Critical”.
7th.Will this be the first
night of the year that Farrior
and Bocachchica did not hit thye Winners Circle?
It ain’t over til the fat lady sings….
7th.Let’s”Aim For the Cork”and
say that”Boundtonoone”will
produce a “Whale of a Run”and win for fun.
8th.”Dulcimer Dame”has had a tough campaign
so I’m gonna cover”Full Moon Lover”and Brown’s other.
9th.I’ll be bold and go for”Blue N Gold”but do concede
that”Never Compromise”is of “Superior Quality”.
7th.”Atm For the Cork”proved
my thesis,Trainer Stats lead to $41.20.
8th.Mr Lucky strikes again”Lightning Runner”,$17.40
and “Dulcimer Dame”came in for$25.10.
If you’re like me,the wagers increase and
this one put me in the Winners Circle.
Last one will be a blast,let’s cash again.
9th.Arnoldo and Farrior did not find the
Winners Circle on closing night,that might
never have happened this whole meet.
And he got me beat for the last exacta.
Seeya next year,vaya conDios,y’awl.
I’ll be back in VA next week,
but if I had seen this card before
I wooda went a week earlier.
1st.”Burr Hill Bullet”missed
after a steady lost all chance .
2nd.”George”stopped like he was assassinated
but Ted had the Exacta box cold.
3rd.Ted’s outside post did the most.
Never fear,I’m just getting warmed up.