Charles Town jockeys and trainers to watch

Charles Town Races will host its first stakes of 2024 Saturday night when fillies and mares go postward in the $75,000 Original Gold. The contest is for state-bred distaffers going seven furlongs for a $75,000 purse.

As the new racing week kicks off, here’s a quick look at who’s hot among trainers and jockeys. We looked at the last three weeks of racing at Charles Town and compared how often jockeys and trainers won to what their takeout-adjusted odds would have predicted. Jockeys must have made at least 10 starts to appear on the list, and trainers, more than five. Here’s what we found:

In wins over the last three weeks, Arnaldo Bocachica (7-for-36) and Juan Nunez (7-for-31) topped the colony, with Christian Hiraldo and Marshall Mendez not far behind with six wins apiece…

Probably the hottest rider of all, though, was Larry Reynolds, who made the most of limited opportunities, winning five times from just 13 starts. That translated to 2.84 wins more than his odds would have predicted, or 8.33 wins above expectations per 50 starts…

Reynolds’ nearest pursuer was Angel Cruz, who went 4-for-10, good for a 7.99 wins above expectations per 50 starts.Those two were followed by Nunez (4.20 wins above expectations per 50 starts), Antonio Lopez (2.74), and Wesley Ho (2.69)

Cruz has taken in 31% of available purse money, tops over the last three weeks, followed by Reynolds (25.7%)…

At the other end of the spectrum were Reshawn Latchman (-4.77 wins above expectations per 50 starts), Denis Araujo (-4.43), Gustavo Larrosa (-3.81), Orlando Bocachica (-2.65), and Keimar Trotman (-3.19).

Every rider but one to have made at least 10 starts at CT the last three weeks won at least one race. Anthony Mawing took the goose egg in 11 starts..

CHARLES TOWN JOCKEYS: WHO’S HOT NOW?

JockeyWins above expected/50 startsStartsWins
Reynolds L C8.33135
Cruz Angel7.98104
Nunez Juan Mauricio4.20317
Lopez Antonio2.74162
Ho Wesley2.69275
Rodriguez V2.26253
Lopez Carlos Eduardo2.18134
Rivera Javier1.75101
Peltroche F1.05172

For the full list of trainers and jockeys and their wins above expectations for 2024 to date, check out our Handicapping page.

Jeff Runco led all trainers with seven wins during the last three weeks, registering a 7-for-28 ledger. That left him just ahead of Tim Grams (6-for-20) and Ronney Brown (6-for-29)…

Anthony Lucas, who won with two of six starters, won at a track-topping rate of 5.26 wins above expectations per 25 starts. He was followed by Keith Brown (2 wins, 3.64 above expectations per 25 starts), Ollie Figgins (2, 2.97), Stacey Viands (3, 2.91), and Grams, whose six wins equated to 2.48 above expectations per 25 starts…

At the other end were Anthony Farrior (-4.51), Christopher Keller (-3.59), John Carlisle (-3.11), David Walters (-3.06), and Michael Atkins (-3.03). All but Farrior, who won once, were winless during the period…

Keith Brown pulled down a track-leading 31.4% of available purse money. Five of his six starters finished in the money…

CHARLES TOWN TRAINERS: WHO’S HOT NOW?

TrainerWins above expected/25 startsStartsWins
Lucas Anthony5.2662
Brown Keith A3.6462
Figgins Ollie L III2.9782
Viands Stacey R2.91133
Grams Timothy C2.48206
Stites Flint W1.9371
Rideout Anthony M II1.6972
Runco Jeff C1.54257
Johnson Jamey R0.9661
Dollinger-Sthr Linda0.8881

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