Charles Town picks and analysis: April 20, 2024
The Biz- April 20, 2024
Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:
- DATE: April 20, 2024
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $2,752
RACE 1
| 4. Owe You One | Farrior trainee has been sniffing around a maiden score; leading rider Boca a plus |
| 3. Wooden Ships | Takes precipitous drop from special weight company; added ground a question mark |
| 7. Lizzy Lou | LIkely to be in front after a quarter-mile; we’ll see after that |
RACE 2
| 2. Essential Magic | Had no answers in last for even-money favorite, who ran third up a level in next; has better efforts to run back to |
| 5. Ghost of Alcina | Switches into Gazzier barn for first try in three months; works look solid enough |
| 4. Creme de La Queen | Fave drops back into claiming company after finding allowance waters too deep, gets veteran Lopez in the irons |
RACE 3
| 5. Aspendos | Speedy sort has kept better company and could control the pace |
| 7. Irish King | Finds lowest level yet |
| 1. Louie’s Heat | Beaten favorite in last |
RACE 4
| 8. Sybarite | Solid win in last, moves back up the class ladder and could get race flow in her favor |
| 6. Late Nite Mistress | Into MIschief filly out of multiple graded winner Late Night Pow Wow has been beaten fave in last two |
| 4. Contingency | Trainer Viands 16% off similar layoffs; well-bred filly won last out |
RACE 5
| 1. Drinkwiththestars | Sharp return to start the season, and speed from the rail deadly at 4 1/2 (21% strike rate for post one) |
| 8. Wild Behavior | Middling try in last when beaten favorite but has better efforts on the page |
| 7. U U Star | Will have to run ’em down late |
RACE 6
| 6. Pork Chop Pete | Spread-eagled the field in sharp debut score, and two of three to run back won follow-ups, including runner-up Indicator |
| 4. Mr. Dumbledore | Disappointed as chalk in last but prior tries were credible |
| 7. Youthful Energy | Tries two turns for the first time; runs like added ground shouldn’t be an issue |
RACE 7 – Confucius Say Stakes
| 9. Muad’dib | Has run down all his major rivals in season-starting allowance wins; must navigate tricky outer post (posts 8-10 are a combined 2-for-63 at 7f this year), though closing style probably an asset |
| 3. Social Chic | Has been second or third in last five stakes outings and never worse than third in 12 at the trip; Boca leaves this one for #9 |
| 5. No Change | Had three-race win streak snapped when third behind top pair in last, but that was likely a useful tightener; can move forward in second off the bench |
RACE 8
| 7. Serious Moment | Returns from lengthy break; best efforts fit and work tab sufficient |
| 5. Vienna’s Twirl | Prior try versus similar good enough; drops from special weight company |
| 3. Betcha Boots Babe | Much-improved effort in last when run down late at 22-1 |
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1.I”Owe You One”it’s true if you bet”Lizzie Lou”I’ll owe you two.
2.You can”Bet Your Boots” on”Creme de la Queen”in this scene.
3.When “Looie’s Heat”get beat,”Aspendos”should give you a “Big Smile.”
4.If”Fireball Express”has some distress.”Late Nite Mistress”will win this test.
1,I owe you two….
2.Missed the exacta but $19.80 kept us
3.A “Big Smile”for $16.20 and $27.90 exacta- *i*
o
4.$8.40,purdy:-)
5.To”Drinkwiththestars”can cause some”Wild Behavior”
and “Cowboy At Heart”can get the big part,
6.”Pork Chop Pete”will be hard to defeat but Ho on”Dorado”can go go go.
and even”Soul can Catcher”.
7.Arnoldo will put him in good position,but”No Change”better be kept within range.
8.”Never Walk Alone”take”Bobbi Two Steps”for a “Golden Run”.
5.Only $14.80,somebody’s paying attention,Ted usta be an outside picker in sprints.
6.Wesley Ho Ho Ho,how you go,”Soul couldn’t quite Catcher”,but $14.80 again my friend.
7.”No Change”was within range,I hope Mendez is all right-is there a report?