Charles Town picks and analysis: May 4, 2024
The Biz- May 4, 2024
Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:
- DATE: May 4, 2024
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $4,452
RACE 1
| 5. Whiskey and Wine | Last dirt try, at the Spa, produced two next-out winners |
| 1. Papa Don | Good speed in last and draws the rail again |
| 4. Stayinyourlane | Ran big in last going two turns; not sure cutback does him any favors |
RACE 2
| 6. Yo Vinnie | Makes third start of the cycle and arrives off a dominant win versus lesser; bug boy Chavez rode both Runco trainees last out and lands here |
| 3. Nickel Nickel | Should control the early pace |
| 2. Captain Creed | Never worse than second in three tries on off tracks and makes third start after a two-month vacation |
RACE 3
| 5. Saffron | Well-bred filly makes debut for McKee barn that’s been heating up of late (3-for-9 in the last 30 days) |
| 2. Collected Dreams | Jockey and trainer both winless on the season, but nothing wrong with this miss’s first local outing |
| 1. Debt Relief | Morning line fave is a bit of a ‘tweener — shows speed and fades going two turns, a bit outfooted going one |
RACE 4
| 6. Lady Rambo | Sharp graduation score has produced a next-out winner; drawn outside others with speed |
| 1. Thelastsay | Doesn’t need the lead but rail draw complicates the trip |
| 5. Another Fine Juba | Speedy sort probably makes the front early |
RACE 5
| 2. Ozone | Return to 2yo dirt form would make this one tough to handle in this spot |
| 8. Triple Bad | His two ’24 starts are just fine; draws outside post for third consecutive time |
| 5. Hopping Henry | Morning line fave drops from allowance company |
RACE 6
| 6. Judy’s Army | Should sit a good trip behind the speed |
| 3. Cajun Joe | Should make the lead but may be softened up for top choice to pounce |
| 2. Z Mystique | Viands barn enjoying productive season |
RACE 7
| 2. Deco Strong | Late-running sort a nose shy of #1 when they met in this one’s last |
| 1. Lightnin Runner | Figures best in here after last-out stakes win but not sure we can live with the morning line price |
| 4. Happy Clouds | Makes season debut and shifts into Gillespie barn; won prior local start |
RACE 8
| 4. Auburn Mill | Should control the early running; trainer Magee 31% at the track last five years |
| 7. Mark Did It | Can’t fault this one’s form, though a cleaner break would aid the cause |
| 1. Tapio | Better effort than it looked in last; wet track a plus |
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1.”Papa Don”looks on but I”Rock Anna Roll”gets my dough.
2.I need”Captain Creed”in the double and”Yo Vinnie”to winnie the Exacta.
3.’Zippy Do Da Day”should pay your”Debt Relief” or cause more grief.
4.Latchman will find a way with”Thelastsay”.
5.”Ozone”looks”Triple Bad”and can be had I’m hoping”Hopping Henry”is popping.
6.”Thank Ya Pete”,”Again We Meet””Judy’s Army”in the winners circle.
7.I fully agree with Ted but stay in bed with”Lightning Runner”.
8.”Auburn Mill”will win again if the “Mud Bug”does not pull the rug from under him.
5.A winner is a winner
6.nothing near,oh dear.
7.Ted showed Gillespie respect and it really paid off.
8.Finished with a win,and that ain’t no sin.
1.Good start
2.Ted matched me.
3.My”Debt Relief”was little.
4.I was looking for a price.