Experts’ Preakness Stakes picks
Saturday’s 149th renewal of the Grade 1 Preakness Stakes features a field of eight topped by Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan. Can Dan secure the Middle Jewel and take a step towards Triple Crown immortality? Or will another runner spoil the party?
Who does have a shot at the roses? Well, that’s the question, isn’t it?
We asked our experts for their selections, and here is the consensus analysis:
- #5 Mystk Dan — If it’s possible for the Kentucky Derby winner to fly under the radar, this guy is. Sure, he had a perfect trip in Louisville, but don’t sleep on what a good race he ran; he was the only runner close to the pace to finish in the top five. For good measure, he owns a win in the slop when he romped in the Southwest.
- #9 Imagination – Bob Baffert has eight prior Preakness wins, most of any trainer, and seeks number nine with a runner with plentiful early zip and a bit of a case of seconditis (four times in six starts). Look for him on the lead early.
- #3 Catching Freedom – Ran a big one to be fourth in the Kentucky Derby when rallying into fourth with a very good trip similar to that of Mystik Dan, albeit from farther back. He defeated Mystik Dan in the Smarty Jones, won the Louisiana Derby, and rates a big shot here.
- #8 Tuscan Gold – The wise-guy horse is trained by Chad Brown, whose two prior Preakness wins both came with horses that had made just three prior starts — same as Tuscan Gold. Plenty of talent if he’s ready to take the next step.
- #7 Just Steel – This speedster was part of the early Derby pace, pressing the pace before fading badly to 17th.
- #2 Uncle Heavy – The Pennsylvania-bred is trained by University of Maryland grad Butch Reid, so there’s plenty of local angles for this guy, who rallied late to win the Withers. Draw a line through his troubled Wood Memorial trip and you have a runner who should be running at the end but still likely needs to improve.
To see a horse-by-horse analysis and in-depth look at the Preakness Stakes field, please click here.
Gary Quill | John Piassek | Derby Bill Watson | Eric Rubin | Mackenzie Pfeiffer | |
1 | Catching Freedom | Mystik Dan | Imagination | Tuscan Gold | Imagination |
2 | Mystik Dan | Tuscan Gold | Mystik Dan | Just Steel | Catching Freedom |
3 | Uncle Heavy | Catching Freedom | Catching Freedom | Mystik Dan | Mystik Dan |
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OUR HANDICAPPERS ARE:
- John Piassek, The Racing Biz Maryland handicapper
- Eric Rubin, host of Better Betting podcast
- Gary Quill, co-host of Better Betting and former The Racing Biz Maryland handicapper
- Derby Bill Watson, legendary former Colonial Downs on-air analylyst
- Mackenzie Pfeiffer, Maryland Jockey Club on-air analyst
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I’m going 2×5,3×5,7×5,9×5,and box some in Tris