PIMLICO PICKS AND PONDERINGS: may 25, 2024
In which we pick the races from Pimlico each day…
Post time: 12:25 p.m.
Carryovers:
Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 —$342,979
Super High 5 — $0
Late Pick 5 — $0
Check out our other handicapping here!
RACE 1: CLAIMING $12,500 (N/W2L), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 FURLONGS
4-7-6-1
#4 Determined Blue (5-2) just missed behind Khozy Colby, who won at Aqueduct next out, three starts ago. She broke awkwardly against better two starts ago and didn’t do much, and now stretches back out after a five-furlong try last out where she never got involved. Everything looks like it’s coming together here. #7 Quit Quay (5-1) broke her maiden first off a six-month layoff at tenth asking last out, running a career-best brisnet figure of 75. She sat the trip that day off sharp early fractions, and will be a threat here if she once again stays close to the early leaders. #6 Sun Streaming (7-2) gobbled up ground from well off the pace last out and lost in a blanket finish. It was the first time in a while she made serious late ground, and she profiles as, at the least, an exotics contender in this group.
RACE 2: CLAIMING $20,000 (CONDITIONED), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/16 MILES (GRASS)
6-9-3-4
#6 Boffo Kid (3-1) got some recent experience this year on the steeplechase circuit, with three starts over jumps and two more in amateur flat races at point-to-point meets not listed in the past performances. He showed speed and backed up in many of those races, which should help him if he can transfer it over to the flats. #9 Bail Out (5-2) was in improving form towards the end of last year, running a season’s-best 78 in his final start of the season. He has a good middle punch that doesn’t always convert to victory, but he should at least grab a slice. #3 Invective (8-1) ran in the 70s consistently towards the end of last year, and showed brief speed in his season debut on dirt last out before fading. He has plenty of room to improve second time out on the season with the return to his preferred surface.
- Sea Dancer gets valuable stakes win in CarouselSea Dancer, a younger half-sis to one of the top turf horses in the country, earned her first stakes win in Saturday’s Carousel at Laurel Park.
RACE 3: MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT, 2-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, 4 1/2 FURLONGS
4-5-7-2
#4 Pure Majestic (2-1) went off as a solid 13-10 favorite on debut, but bumped into the gate at the start and was no factor from there. She turned in a bullet workout on May 17, suggesting that she’s back into peak form after that gate mishap, and should be tough against these. #5 Noquestionaboutit (7-2), one of two Larry Johnson homebreds in the field, has a pair of bullet drills at Mike Trombetta’s Fair Hill base under her belt, and is out of Great Notion, whose progeny do well at first asking. #7 Belle of the South (5-2) hasn’t been as flashy at Fair Hill, in her case for Arnaud Delacour, but has still looked strong in the morning. She’s out of a mare who won at first asking, and damsire He’s Tops connects at 18% with first-time starters.
RACE 4: CLAIMING $20,000 (CONDITIONED), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 5 FURLONGS (GRASS)
4-1-10-8
#4 Princess Palmer (6-1) is the biggest speed threat in the race, and led almost every step last out first off a six-month layoff and ended up beaten 2 1/4 lengths. She improved slightly second off the bench last year, and she’s taken steps forward over the past 12 months. If she improves the same off the 73 she earned last out, she’ll be tough to catch. #1 Yooou Know (3-1) outfinished Princess Palmer to grab third in her most recent start, but she had some experience this year under her belt going in thanks to a winter spent at Gulfstream Park. She should sit a nice trip on or near the early pace, and will try to use her tactical speed to maximum advantage. #10 Clouds of White (4-1) gets class relief first off the bench for Mike Trombetta, and her late punch should play a lot better against these types. She’s undefeated on this track, having broken her maiden on it exactly a year ago today first off a 19-month layoff.
RACE 5: MAIDEN CLAIMING $12,500, 3, 4, AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 FURLONGS
3-2-7-5
#3 Diane (5-2) couldn’t finish what looked like a winning move in her last start, but still managed to hold second with a career-best 55. She recently worked four furlongs in 48 2/5 seconds; that’s exactly two seconds faster than she went in her last workout before her last outing. #2 Any Fools Gold (8-1) has pressed the pace and faded in her last few starts, but did improve to a top mark of 63 in her last start, and might be able to make the lead from towards the inside. #7 Job’s Not Finished (3-1) has slowly improved in her last few starts, and faces one of the easier fields she’s seen in a while. She’s raced closer to the early pace than usual in those recent races, and it’s served her well.
RACE 6: ALLOWANCE (N/W1X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 5 FURLONGS (GRASS)
8-5-11-10
#8 Apropos (9-2) has shown flickers of ability going one turn, but has never gotten to race at this condition and distance when she wasn’t coming off a very long break. She showed some promise against better first-level foes going a mile at Keeneland and Tampa Bay Downs in her last two races, and looks poised to run a big race on the distance cutback. #5 My Girl Ginger (12-1) held third in the Serena’s Song Stakes at Turfway Park last out after rating near the pace. She’s making her first start on grass after five starts on the Turfway Tapeta to begin her career, but she’s a half-sibling to two grass winners. #11 Divina Dulce (6-1) didn’t show much punch first time against winners at Turfway last out, but has taken some time off since that February 17 race and has worked well recently. She’s improved sharply since joining the Arnaud Delacour contingent last year, and hops to take another leap forward firs time on the lawn.
- “Miracle” horse All Caps wins first in two yearsAll Caps nearly died from an infection two years ago. So how did she get to the winner’s circle at Charles Town Saturday? “A miracle,” says her owner.
RACE 7: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING (N/W3X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS
5-8-3-7
This field is the “not ready for prime time” group compared to those who raced in last Saturday’s Maryland Sprint, and is essentially a rematch of the 8th race on April 27. #5 Rominski (5-2) set the pace, opened up a clear lead on the turn, and fended off the late challenge of #3 Classier (7-2) to win for the third time in four starts this year. He has blazing early speed, and while he prefers to set the pace, he proved two races ago that he can come from off of it. #8 Don’t Wait Up (3-1) blew the doors off a conditioned claiming field last out at Parx, in his first start off the claim by Jamie Ness, running a career-best 98 in the process. Any Ness/Jamie Rodriguez horse is dangerous, but he’s getting a stiff class test against these. Classier has shown he loves Laurel Park, further emphasized by two dull races at Keeneland and Charles Town earlier this year. He’s run in the 90s in his last five starts at Laurel, and if that form transfers a few miles north, he’s very live.
RACE 8: MAIDEN CLAIMING $45,000, 3, 4, AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES AND MARES, 1 MILE (GRASS)
2-10-14-6
#2 Steam Knot (8-1) made her first start off a six-month break last out, and certainly outran her 56-1 odds, leading almost every step and ending up beaten a length. Lute Warm, who finished second that day, broke her maiden on dirt next out. She’s a half-sister to two grass winners. #10 Independence Way (5-2) finished fourth, beaten just a nose behind Steam Knot in her most recent start, a much-improved effort in her lawn debut after two dull tries on dirt. She made up plenty of late ground despite a slow early pace in front of her, and will hope for a speedier tempo today. #14 Love Saga (12-1) prevailed at the Warrenton point-to-point in March and the Old Dominion Hounds point-to-point in early April, but was no factor after a wide trip in her first pari-mutuel affair of the year last out. She has far from an ideal draw today, but has shown enough to be worth using at a price.
RACE 9: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING (N/W3X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 FURLONGS
4-1-3-2
#4 Mystic Seaport (7-5) is one of the hottest horses in the country, having won three straight races and eight of her last nine, all o them by open lengths. She was pressed on the pace last out on the lawn, and kicked away to win as much the best. She should handle these without much drama. #1 My Flicker (5-2) beat Mystic Seaport with a dramatic off-the-pace rally last December, and has gotten back to her best self since a late-winter swoon. She chased while wide and finished second at Aqueduct last out, and should at least save more ground here. #3 Anonymously (10-1) was no match for better in the Skipat Stakes last Saturday, but rattled off a solid fast-track winning streak from the end of last year to the start of this one. Andres Chavez, who rode her in most of her victories, gets back in the saddle.
RACE 10: MAIDEN CLAIMING $12,500, 3-YEAR-OLDS, 1 1/16 MILES
7-6-4-3
#7 Rudy Rudy Rudy (2-1) improved to a career-best 75 first off the claim by Rudy Sanchez-Salomon last out, finally showing some mild closing kick after back-to-back dull tries. #6 Minny Speightster (7-2) battled on the lead and held second at Parx last out, losing to dueling partner and favorite My Man Woody. He’ll be dangerous on the lead for the Ness/Rodriguez duo. #4 Under the Overpass (9-5) loves losing at low odds, but did run his career-best of 81 at this level two starts back, and looks to be on the positive end of his up-and-down form cycle.
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