Charles Town picks and analysis: May 31, 2024

Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:

  • DATE: May 31, 2024
  • RACES ON CARD: 8
  • CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $17,241

RACE 1

6. Stellars in ChargeLikely the one they’ll have to run down
7. White SeriesImproved try in last at shortest distance to date
5. Northern CardinalConnections hesitant to expose him to being claimed, now trying him in special weight company at third different track

RACE 2

6. Caliente RumJust missed in last versus similar
1. Take Charge EricaMaybe the barn switch will give this 8yo mare a boost
2. Cowgirl AttitudeDrops to lowest level yet after struggling versus better; one of seven to run back from latest won follow-up

RACE 3

5. Change Your LuckLikely speed of the speed won last time entered for a nickel and should appreciate return to lesser company; Peltroche barn with a strong start to the year
11. Hot Fudge SondeWarrants a look if drawing in off the AE; disappointed last couple but three back effort versus better wins here
3. Hialeah NativeHung out wide in last but barely missed two prior tries

RACE 4

6. Never Grew UpExits productive heat that’s produced three next out winners; switches into ice-cold Carlisle barn that’s sure to heat up one of these days (22% off the trainer switch last five years)
8. Common ProsperityWon like a 3-10 should in last and finds good spot to tackle winners for the first time
5. Simply JackShould appreciate straight never-won-two company after winners of last two outings had three and four wins each

RACE 5

4. Nighttime JusticeRan evenly versus better last out in a race that’s produced two next-out winners; won last time she faced nickel foes on dirt
6. Rock RoseClearly the fastest here if she can find her old form, but drop to the bottom off a six-month break doesn’t instill confidence
2. Complete SurpriseDrop to this level probably overdue; has back efforts that would win this

RACE 6

3. Flat DiscountThe Flat Out mare’s form is a bit in-and-out but better efforts put her in the mix; beaten a length two back in race that’s produced two next-out winners and won at this level in January
7. Mrs. DelWell-traveled mare will try to maintain form at third racetrack in as many starts; finished behind top choice in January, ahead of her in March
1. Waterloo RoseHer odds — 55-1 two back, 13-1 last out — suggest that this one’s chances of winning both were about 1/10th of one percent; how do you leave her out after that?

RACE 7

8. Pork Chop PeteDead game in the Coin Collector when disposing of talented pace rival Marshall Peanut but unable to withstand late run of last year’s state-bred 2yo champ Jubawithatwist
1. IndicatorWilling effort in the Coin Collector when outfooted early and hung out wide on the turn; flattened out a bit late
3. FurrealHalf-bro to WV-bred millionaire Lucy’s Bob Boy dominated in flashy debut but has been away four months since; seems like that was a bit of a tepid group, while this is a tough spot to face winners first time

RACE 8

3. Landon JackSure likes to finish second (eight times in 22 starts versus just one win) and has done so in last two versus similar; might still be best of these
12. Circle the MoonHas faced better and could factor if drawing in off the AE
6. Mims Hat TrickMakes first start in 11 months and switches barns; best prior efforts fit here and came going 4 1/2 furlongs
8. TizafastbulletTired late after wide journey in first try versus winners; could face similar challenge here

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