Charles Town picks and analysis: June 15, 2024

Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:

  • DATE: June 15, 2024
  • RACES ON CARD: 8
  • CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $46,956

RACE 1

2. Never Walk AloneMight be able to sneak off to the lead and take ’em all the way
3. Mouse to MouseWilling try in debut despite being steadied nearing the quarter pole
1. Honey PleaseOnly one-turn try wasn’t terrible versus special weight foes

RACE 2

5. Moon FallRetreated readily in last versus much better but any of prior three makes him a winner here; half-brother to stakes winners Door Buster, The Sky Is Falling
2. One Candy CastleBit of a clunker in last but has better efforts to run back to
7. Doctor PardoJust missed in last when gacking up a big lead late

RACE 3

4. Sam WheatOught to be nearest pursuer to likely early leader Change Your Luck and reel that one in when ready; trainer Farrior 4-for-12 with last-out maiden winners in middle claiming company at CT
8. Hot Fudge SondeFour-time winner has kept better company
2. StrollinginthewindLate runner will hope for a lively pace

RACE 4

1. JlodiamondLikely speed of the speed looks a cut above these; winner of last Overnight Pow Wow returned to win again last night
4. SlewingMight get a pace to run at and figures to be running best of all late
2. Mama MargeFirst start since easy allowance win in February

RACE 5

9. Juba BoundFour-time winner has won at this level previously and didn’t run poorly last out versus better
1. Triple BadBeat similar two back; makes third start off the bench
2. Free Drop BachWon only local try; connections liked him enough to protect in first try of the season and trainer Dunham 30/89 at CT last five years

RACE 6

8. I’m FriesanIn a moderate field, let’s take a swing with the first-timer; sire Friesan Fire does pretty well with older firsters, and dam Royal Fireworks was a 5-time winner; trainer Contreras 16% with firsters in MSW company with a positive ROI
5. Whiskey WildMorning line fave was throttled by claimers at Churchill in last, and any of three or four in that heat would have been favored here; none from that race have made much impact since, though, with all seven to run back being beaten and only one finishing in the money; makes first start in Farrior barn
1. Collected DreamsMost experienced of the group has been second three straight versus similar

RACE 7It’s Only Money S.

7. NicoThe fractions likely will be torrid, and this Contreras trainee will be lurking a few lengths back and hoping to pounce
4. Duncan IdahoFull brother near-millionaire Muad’dib and multiple graded winner Late Night Pow Wow has become an ultra-hard-hitting one-turn runner; has shown the ability to set blazing fractions, take pressure, and stay on — will need that in here
3. Penguin PowerVeteran has won on WVBC night five straight years, should get a good setup to make noise in this one

RACE 8

8. Tiz VinnoGot a freshening after some decent tries at LRL but returned with a clunker; class relief a big plus here
7. Dice ArmOne of two in here who made last starts at Churchill; not a bad try three back when third against $20k MCL sorts at Keeneland; first in Keller barn
2. Pass the CashCouldn’t go with winner Vino Dolce in last but well clear of the rest, and that rival bested allowance foes next out

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