Delaware Park picks and analysis: July 11, 2024 * The Racing Biz

Delaware Park picks and analysis: July 11, 2024

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

RACE 1

6. Always Connected	Are we really gonna pick a 1-for-32 horse? Yes, we are; just missed versus similar last out and should get a good trip
3. Ritz On Broadway	Well behind top choice in last but two tries at the level are fine; second time off the claim for Simone
7. Mairsils First	Gotta imagine she’ll be first early; how long will she last?

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RACE 2

5. Ascribe	Galloped versus lower level maidens in first try on the main track; Ness-JRod combo lethal, and Ness wins 25% with last-out maiden winners
6. Arrogant Rider	Has been clobbered by better in first two local tries, but best contends
4. Great Call	Needs a bounceback effort

RACE 3 – ON THE TURF (amateur rider race)

5. True Account	Good try in last to be fourth at 25-1, drops into a good spot here
11. Go Take Charge	Wide journey in last may have been decisive; rider will need to work out a trip
10. Southern Pass Time	Pressed the pace before weakening in a useful first try on turf

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RACE 4

2. Running River	Boy, that March outing when he was fourth in an allowance at LRL feels like a long time ago; better efforts would easily suffice in this group but needs to find that form
3. Holdtheflight	Precipitous drops in starts since claim don’t feel like good signs
5. Steele Money	Made a long move to earn second in last and could use some help from the pace

RACE 5

7. Phlying Phyllis	Had an adventurous trip on debut and could easily have packed it in but was willing all the way; trainer Capuano 12-for-30 with 2yo maidens making their second start
3. In My Memories	Trainer Simoff has a positive ROI with first-time-out 2yo; first foal out of a 7-time winner
1. Beautiful Blome	Wide throughout after breaking a beat slow in debut

RACING NOTES

Jockey Jaime Rodriguez won three on Monday’s delayed card, including a sharp score aboard Dean Delivers in the $125,000 Alapocas Run Stakes….
The Delaware Oaks was about as good a race as you’ll see, with Power Squeeze and Sidamara hooking up with about a quarter-mile to go and slugging it out all the way down the lane. Power Squeeze prevailed by a nose…
May want to keep an eye on Distorted d’Oro. The three-year-old Medaglia d’Oro filly improved to two-for-two in her young career when she set fast early fractions and still had enough to hold off her late-running rivals to win a first allowance by three parts of a length. The horse she edged on debut, Toy Collector, graduated in the nightcap…

RACE 6

1. Cloudy Bay	Ought to be able to stalk and pounce in this spot; Cedeno went to PEN to ride this one, remains aboard
3. Expecting a Winner	Terrific effort sprinting last time out and has credible two-turn tries on the resume
6. Louise Brooks	Morning line fave keeps running good races; a lively pace would aid the cause

RACE 7

4. Hazardous Humor	Form had gone a bit sideways before getting a break, but better efforts put her in the mix
2. Golden Tabby	Wins on best, and Ness can get ’em ready to win first off the bench, but not sure we wanna take anticipated short odds on a horse that bled and was vanned off in last and then was off for four months
1. Give Me Kisses	Two tries in N2X company in New York were not good, so this $400,000 filly shifts into the Russell barn in search of easier company

RACE 8

4. Class Actor	Unusual conditions of the race allow this one and a couple others to slip in despite recent wins at similar levels; bested similar two back, and though form is in-and-out, better efforts could get it done
3. Midnight Getaway	Beat similar at TAM two straight over the winter and makes first start in Siculletano barn
2. Collect Redemption	Speedy sort will try to take ’em all the way