Delaware Park picks and analysis: July 17, 2024
Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:
- DATE: july 17, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: None
- POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.
RACE 1
4. Lovely Liza | Decent tries versus better in prior, and last might have been sneaky good; only runner to improve position in the final quarter |
5. Water Witch | Couldn’t hold off 4-5 favorite in last in improved try in first in Arriagada barn; the most likely winner but likely to be overbet |
6. No More Diamonds | Speedy sort may try to assume stalker’s role here |
- Strongest favorite: Wendell Fong (R8, 6-5 ML)
- Longest shot: Heffner (R5, 12-1)
RACE 2
7. Nami | You’ll have to ignore some poor efforts for this one, but her maiden breaker was really good and a return to that wins here; has definitely had some excuses along the way |
5. Dancing Beauty | Graduated in last and makes second start off the bench |
1. Catalina Cruzin | In last on dirt didn’t run terribly against Pudd’n N Pie, who repeated against better next out |
RACE 3
6. Alabama Shake | Debut really wasn’t bad in a race that produced two next-out winners; blinks didn’t help in last, nor did presence of 1-9 winner Deleted Video; blinks off today |
3. On the Chill | Should lead early; how far can he take them? |
8. Paynted Thunder | No world beater but keeps running ok races |
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RACE 4
5. Two Minute Lick | Arrives with two straight wins and the tactical ability to work out a trip; ultra-successful connections |
7. My Boss Lady | Connex liked this one enough to claim her back after losing her and then protect in return to last out; return to better form puts her in the mix |
3. Vodkatini | Broke slowest off all and then 5-wide into turn in last did this one no favors; third off the bench |
RACE 5
9. American Unity | Terrific effort in last when narrowly bested by Megacity, loose leader who’s won four straight; tactical enough to work out a trip if he can avoid getting hung out on turns |
5. The Peninsula | Saw top choice three times in Tampa, and all three they finished within a length of each other, this one getting the better of his rival twice; two tries locally haven’t been quite as strong |
10. El de Larry | Solid win in last but nearly a 3-month break since gives pause |
RACING NOTES
- Jockey Gabriel Maldonado, who missed several days after testing positive for opioids, which he said were from a prescribed medication, was restored to good standing July 6 and picked up precisely where he left off: He won with his only local mount July 11 and then had a hat trick July 13. He leads the colony with 30 wins…
- Flashy debut for two-year-old filly Social Fortress on Saturday. The Jamie Ness trainee won by 11 lengths under jockey Dexter Haddock while getting five furlongs on the dirt in a sharp 59.27 seconds…
RACE 6
5. Bar Down Express | Lands in good spot to make it two straight and may be controlling speed |
3. Omar Comin | Since terrific three back win, connex have tried turf (which went meh) and then much better; can move forward back with these, though cutback to sprint may leave him outfooted early |
4. Infamous Nono | Showed little as fave in last; third off the bench |
RACE 7
6. Doin’ittherightway | Three straight wins versus similar and drawn well outside where he can use tactical speed to best advantage |
4. Uncaptured Storm | Has beaten similar; reunited here with rider Toledo, returning from injury; trainer-jock combo 4-for-12 |
2. It’s Game Time | Formful sort a good third in last behind repeat winner |
RACE 8
4. Red Devolution | Wasn’t beating 1-5 Gran Runner in last but recent form just fine |
3. Luv Ya Bye Bye | Couple recent clunkers but return to better form would put him in the mix |
6. Wendell Fong | Might be time for a new job for this classy old vet; Ness 1-for-14 when combining long layoff and sharp dropdown |
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