Spa selections 2024: Saratoga picks August 16

Cover photo by NYRA/Adam Coglianese.

In Spa Selections, Saratoga correspondent Joseph Aiello provides Saratoga picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!

Follow along all meet with all the exciting action (and good betting opportunities)!

Check out our other handicapping here!

RACE 2: Skidmore Stakes

1. #2 Out on Bail (6-1) – This grey colt by Tiz the Law showed improvement when switching to grass last time and may get the right trip off a quick pace here

2. #1 Jet Sweep Joe (5-1) – Was right there with Governor Sam in the Tyro last time out and did more of the dirty work, so is a threat if the pace isn’t as fast this time

3. #3 Governor Sam (7-5) – Has the speed to either take the early lead or stalk and can win if he repeats his effort last race by sitting behind the leaders

4. #6 Raise the Bar (9-5) – Switches to turf but needs to prove he can adjust to the surface and improve off of his debut where he ran in the slop

RACE 8: OC 62500n2x

1. #2 Breath Away (9-2) – Five for six in the money at a mile, this Clement filly has been a consistent finisher even if wins have eluded her recently

2. #1 Tax Implications (6-5) – Drops from a grade III win in what appears to be a tune-up off a layoff, and wins with a top effort but isn’t a lock in this field

3. #6 Elounda Queen (5-1) – May prefer more distance, but has the class to compete here and at least close into the money with Rosario

4. #4 Swoop to Finish (12-1) – May not be enough pace to run at for this Mott trainee, but she can finish well by sitting off the lead this time around

RACE 9: Union Avenue Handicap

1. #7 Leeloo (6-5) – Narrowly lost to Kant Hurry Love last time out, but has some good back class and should be in the mix here if she breaks well

#2 Security Code (8-1) – Didn’t break sharply last time and fell out of the race, but has some good efforts at six furlongs if she is involved early

#1 Cara’s Time (7-2) – Comes out of an open allowance where she went out a tad too fast, but can still hold on in the top four if the pace is modest

#4 Tricky Temper (4-1) – Ran one of the better six furlong efforts last time out and broke her maiden over this track but needs to break well to have a chance

RACE 10: OC 80000n1x

1. #9 Vino Rouge (9-2) – Has been running her best recently on turf, and has some good back class here plus should be in a good position early

#2 Goa (7-2) – First time lasix for this filly who runs in North America for the first time for Chad Brown, and has upside in a field with questions

#1 Dancing Dean (4-1) – This Mott trainee has moved forward in her three stretch runs on turf, and can be a threat here if the pace gets a bit quicker than expected

#10 Mixologist (5-1) – Brad Cox trainee ran much better as a closer in her debut, now picking up Rosario who should have her moving late into the top grouping

RACE 11: MC 40000

1. #10 Our Finest Hour (4-1) – Improved a bit dropping into maiden claiming last time, and drops even further here for Mike Maker who is having a good meet

2. #9 Shakrevenge (6-1) – Couldn’t hold onto a lead in the stretch at this distance last time, but has been in the mix amongst this class which is more than others can say

3. #12 Z Train (5-1) – Tough post, but Dettori sticks around to ride for Dutrow after finishing a close third in these conditions here two weeks ago

4. #4 True Myth (6-1) – Showed a clear step forward when switching to turf last time, and may be more of a threat if he gets a quicker pace to take aim at

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