Delaware Park picks and analysis: September 12, 2024
Joseph Aiello- September 12, 2024
Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:
- DATE: September 12, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: None
- POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.
RACE 1
| 11. Quick Recovery (6-1) | Adds lasix first time and should improve after running against better down at Gulfstream |
| 4. Fia First (4-1) | Has been competitive recently over this track, coming up short last time in a race that compares well to this group |
| 9. Big Bolt (9-2) | Doesn’t seem to want to win; still has a good record in the money on dirt especially here |
| 2. Golden Boss Lady (10-1) | Certainly needs to improve to be close, but showed a clear step forward last time in her only competitive effort |
RACE 2
| 3. Cooler King (2-1) | Arkansas bred has a tactical advantage on this field with a top try, and simply didn’t break sharply last race |
| 6. Super Constitution (8-5) | May be overvalued here at his morning line odds, failing to win against similar class two back and has a troubling win rate |
| 1. Grand Rozzo (8-1) | Vino Rosso gelding may want more distance, but has shown improvement with two straight wins at sprints |
RACE 3
| 6. Latin Nikkita (2-1) | Finally switching back to dirt; could be overbet but this mare was running against better this year |
| 2. Del Rey Dolly (4-1) | The most competitive runner here with a win in over a third of her tries lifetime on dirt, but stretches in distance |
| 3. Six the Hard Way (3-1) | Drops from a low level allowance at Timonium, and fared well against this class here in July |
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RACE 4 – ON THE TURF
| 5. Gotanothathingcomn (2-1) | Brittany Russell saddles this filly and has a 24% win clip this meet; first timer here worked well in August |
| 6. Feel the Bolt (12-1) | Enters her fourth start, and of those who have experience, her speed figures are the best |
| 2. Zenith (3-1) | Lone mount for Pennington who rides for John Servis; sired by Munnings who has emerged as a top 15 North American sire by Progeny earnings this year |
| 7. Mona L (8-1) | Grey filly bred in Pennsylvania has value in her debut with frequent works |
DIRT PICKS: 5-6-1
RACE 5
| 2. Gentle Breeze (5-2) | Showed more last year, but improved some off the class drop last time and has a combo that has won five of eight this meet |
| 6. Tiz Lord (9-5) | May just be in better form than Gentle Breeze; late finishing type could use some pace from Gambe Forte |
| 1. Our Ethan Charles (12-1) | Only win was in a maiden claimer, but still has a strong record in the money at a good price |
RACE 6 – ON THE TURF
| 9. Mr. Redolfo (10-1) | Has shown a preference for more distance, but his turf performances can’t be ignored at this price |
| 4. Great Kisser (7-2) | Lone win came on turf with Torres, and has a clear advantage over the rest if he breaks first |
| 10. Perfect Edge (10-1) | Switches surfaces for the first time, and will be in the mix if his top form translates |
| 8. Twist ‘n Twirl (8-1) | Respectable finishes against better competition; was stronger last year but cuts back in distance |
DIRT PICKS: 10-9-4
RACE 7
| 4. Blaze On (3-1) | Four wins in six starts; has the best form at this distance on a dry surface |
| 2. Golden Tabby (3-2) | Was working well this summer and may be the best here, but needs a sharper break this time around |
| 1. Ribbonsinherhair (8-1) | Better value than Touisset who has more speed; could get the set up to hit the board at a price |
RACE 8
| 2. Dubai Fire (7-2) | Back to dirt and should have a speed advantage on the rest which gives him a leg up |
| 3. Look Sharp (9-5) | Hasn’t won enough to warrant this short a number, but still has the best speed figures of the bunch |
| 4. Clever Tiger (5-2) | Unlikely winner but should be mid pack with a chance to nab show |
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