Delaware Park picks and analysis: September 19, 2024
Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:
- DATE: September 19, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: None
- POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.
RACE 1
2. Lady Aethelflaed | Gets good trip; making short work of conditions |
4. La Tache | Big outing in latest when shifted to the main track but presence of other speed here complicates matters |
3. Looking for Water | Lead horses didn’t come back to the closers at all in last; they probably will today |
RACE 2
5. Bad Hombre | Fewer starts than the other main contenders — a positive in a two-life race |
4. Duke of Dooly | Has run decently against similar, including in latest |
2. Bad Henry | Jumped up and just missed last out; a repeat needed for this one to be in the mix again |
RACE 3
1. Miti Fast Flower | Drops to bottom off acceptable tries at PEN; last-place finisher from two-back effort bested favorite here in next |
5. Lucky Honey | Drops to bottom in search of easier group |
6. Wicked Kitten | Best figs here but hard to endorse favoritism on 19-race maiden |
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RACE 4 – ON THE TURF
3. Hendrickson | First claim in over two years for trainer Ned Allard and attracts leading rider JRod; beaten fave in two straight but may offer better value today |
6. Sabi | Graduated in latest, holding off Rum Tum Tugger who then defeated #1 |
1. Financial District | Has gotten very fast paces to close into in two of last three turf tries; doubting that he gets that setup again here |
4. Big Big Star | Blinkers on, and this one could control it from the front; the concern is two recent off-color outings |
RACE 5
1. Sonadora Girl | Decent try versus better in latest; runner-up came back to win an allowance with an 82 Beyer fig next out |
5. Bold Baby | Good middle move in useful return to action before emptying out late; not asked for best in lane |
4. Snow Lake | Runner-up four straight versus better and worse; willing finish in last after encountering a bit of trouble entering the turn |
RACING NOTES
- Jockey Jaime Rodriguez owned the Wednesday card, winning five times, including the $125,000 Obeah Stakes aboard Evidencias ($13.20), giving that runner her first North American victory…
- Three of the wins delivered by Rodriguez were for trainer Jamie Ness. Rodriguez and Ness are now firmly in control of the leading rider/trainer races; Rodriguez has 70 wins, while nearest pursuer Gabriel Maldonao has 47; and Ness’s 47 wins are more than double the 20 recorded to date by closest pursuer Gary Capuano…
RACE 6 – ON THE TURF
1. Belle of the South | Look for this one in front early and possibly sealing the deal this time; has caught some tough rivals |
6. G W’s Girl | Solid work tab for a Munnings filly whose female family has some win-early to it |
4. Heylookmeover | Robertson barn clicks at 23% with 2yo debut runners in special weight company; Maclean’s Music a good win-early sire, and one of this one’s three sibs won at first asking |
2. Nohai | Finally gets on turf after two prior tries, including disastrous trip in latest; a cleaner trip aids the cause |
RACE 7
5. Malibu Beauty | Too much class |
4. Late Frost | Bullring lover ran big in latest to win and has run well locally; like to see her string good efforts together before taking likely short odds |
3. Just Great | Showed plenty of early talent but hasn’t gone on; perhaps switch into Magee barn will help |
RACE 8
6. Boh’s N O’s | Good try versus slightly better in latest; trainer Sullivan 20% second off the claim |
1. Ziffy Bug | Dominated two-life company and wheels back on short rest; has won two straight sprints |
2. Nami | Has finished in the triple three straight following two near-misses behind repeater La Macchina Rossa |
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