Delaware Park picks and analysis: September 19, 2024

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

  • DATE: September 19, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
  • RACES ON CARD: 8
  • CARRYOVERSNone
  • POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.

RACE 1

2. Lady AethelflaedGets good trip; making short work of conditions
4. La TacheBig outing in latest when shifted to the main track but presence of other speed here complicates matters
3. Looking for WaterLead horses didn’t come back to the closers at all in last; they probably will today

RACE 2

5. Bad HombreFewer starts than the other main contenders — a positive in a two-life race
4. Duke of DoolyHas run decently against similar, including in latest
2. Bad HenryJumped up and just missed last out; a repeat needed for this one to be in the mix again

RACE 3

1. Miti Fast FlowerDrops to bottom off acceptable tries at PEN; last-place finisher from two-back effort bested favorite here in next
5. Lucky HoneyDrops to bottom in search of easier group
6. Wicked KittenBest figs here but hard to endorse favoritism on 19-race maiden

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RACE 4ON THE TURF

3. HendricksonFirst claim in over two years for trainer Ned Allard and attracts leading rider JRod; beaten fave in two straight but may offer better value today
6. SabiGraduated in latest, holding off Rum Tum Tugger who then defeated #1
1. Financial DistrictHas gotten very fast paces to close into in two of last three turf tries; doubting that he gets that setup again here
4. Big Big StarBlinkers on, and this one could control it from the front; the concern is two recent off-color outings

RACE 5

1. Sonadora GirlDecent try versus better in latest; runner-up came back to win an allowance with an 82 Beyer fig next out
5. Bold BabyGood middle move in useful return to action before emptying out late; not asked for best in lane
4. Snow LakeRunner-up four straight versus better and worse; willing finish in last after encountering a bit of trouble entering the turn

RACING NOTES

  • Jockey Jaime Rodriguez owned the Wednesday card, winning five times, including the $125,000 Obeah Stakes aboard Evidencias ($13.20), giving that runner her first North American victory…
  • Three of the wins delivered by Rodriguez were for trainer Jamie Ness. Rodriguez and Ness are now firmly in control of the leading rider/trainer races; Rodriguez has 70 wins, while nearest pursuer Gabriel Maldonao has 47; and Ness’s 47 wins are more than double the 20 recorded to date by closest pursuer Gary Capuano…

RACE 6ON THE TURF

1. Belle of the SouthLook for this one in front early and possibly sealing the deal this time; has caught some tough rivals
6. G W’s GirlSolid work tab for a Munnings filly whose female family has some win-early to it
4. HeylookmeoverRobertson barn clicks at 23% with 2yo debut runners in special weight company; Maclean’s Music a good win-early sire, and one of this one’s three sibs won at first asking
2. NohaiFinally gets on turf after two prior tries, including disastrous trip in latest; a cleaner trip aids the cause

RACE 7

5. Malibu BeautyToo much class
4. Late FrostBullring lover ran big in latest to win and has run well locally; like to see her string good efforts together before taking likely short odds
3. Just GreatShowed plenty of early talent but hasn’t gone on; perhaps switch into Magee barn will help

RACE 8

6. Boh’s N O’sGood try versus slightly better in latest; trainer Sullivan 20% second off the claim
1. Ziffy BugDominated two-life company and wheels back on short rest; has won two straight sprints
2. NamiHas finished in the triple three straight following two near-misses behind repeater La Macchina Rossa

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