Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 11, 2024

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

  • DATE: October 11, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
  • RACES ON CARD: 8
  • CARRYOVERS: None
  • POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.

RACE 1

7. Caerus (6-1)
Gelding by Curlin is a good combination of value and comparable speed figures at this distance
6. Style Me Royal (9-5)
Certainly a factor if he is near the lead early, with two gate to wire wins at this distance on this track over the summer
5. Flat Lucky (3-2)
Better at route distances than sprints, and should be the favorite with his record in the money lifetime

RACE 2

4. Sir Chance a Lot (3-1)
Showed promise in his debut, albeit on turf, but should get a better surface to run on this time
7. Kaladin (2-1)
Has the best start of any of those who have raced, and may be good enough with a repeat of that try
6. Hello Sunshine (6-1)
Good jockey trainer combo in a limited sample size may not win but should be in the mix

RACE 3

1. Pistol Or Shotgun (2-1)
Made an impressive move into third last time at this distance and can win if he gets away a bit quicker
6. Edward Madden (4-1)
Drops slightly in class and returns to dirt where he has more experience
4. John’s Promise (8-5)
Finishes in the money at a strong clip, starting first off the claim from Michael Simone

CHECK OUT THE LATEST OFF TO THE RACES RADIO!

RACE 4ON THE TURF

7. The Sugars (6-1)
Has kept good company; showed improvement through the summer to this spot
8. All Gas No Brakes (8-1)
Last two tries at eight furlongs indicate no issues with distance and may be best at routes
3. Zenith (7-2)
Filly by Munnings picked up five lengths in her debut, now adding a half furlong
6. Social Love (5-1)
Adds blinkers for Jamie Ness who has won at an impressive 30% clip this meet with nearly two-hundred starters

DIRT PICKS: 5-6-8

RACE 5

6. La Macchina Rossa (8-1)
Not the classiest, but has three straight strong efforts with improving speed figures and should be a good price
8. Buckin’ Great (2-1)
Virginia bred gets class relief for this strong jockey trainer combo
4. Virologist (3-1)
Some of the better races at this distance in this group, running her best off the bench two back

RACE 6

5. In My Memories (9-5)Wins if she runs back to last effort off the bench
6. Sevilla (8-1)
Drops from optional claimer and should take a step forward returning to this class
7. Peachyness (5-2)
Needs a sharper break but similar to Sevilla will get major class relief in this spot

RACE 7 ON THE TURF

9. Payout Ratio (5-1)
Clear tactical advantage over this group with plenty of early speed and two wins in two tries over this turf course
6. Nature’s Candy (6-1)
Dropping from two straight stakes races should lead to improvement in performance
1. Blessed Touch (12-1)
Tough to ignore Stidham who has had a successful meet and sends this classy dirt filly to turf for the first time
3. Expecting a Winner (15-1)
Has done her best running since switching surfaces, finishing in the money in five of six starts on turf

DIRT PICKS: 1-5-6

RACE 8

7. I’m Bleu Too (2-1)
A primary threat if Hernandez gets this filly out of the gate quicker than her previous two tries
4. S K Moon (8-5)
Drops to easier competition, starting over this track for just the second time but may be too far back early
3. No Walk Inthe Park (6-1)
Steps up slightly in class, but has been competitive against lesser and should be good value