Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 12, 2024

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

  • DATE: October 12, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
  • RACES ON CARD: 7
  • CARRYOVERS: None
  • POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.

RACE 1

2. Allenhurst (6-1)
Gets the nod with the class drop and switches back to dirt after a tough turf debut
6. Estilo Unico (4-5)
First off the claim for Jaime Ness and has the speed figures to be a win contender
1. Vongole (8-1)
Gradual improvement and a surface change should help; may need pace to close into

RACE 2

6. Tie Breaker (7-2)
Has done his best running recently, with a strong record in the money lifetime
2. Baltasar (9-5)
May have the speed advantage with Sassy Lad and won over this track last time
4. Sassy Lad (3-1)
Distance specialist is a good bet to hit the board and won three of his last four

RACE 3 ON THE TURF

9. Batter Up (3-1)
Also eligible is clearly the one to beat if he draws in for Godolphin and Stidham
7. Kitten’s Ploy (12-1)
Clearly took a step forward last time when switching to turf, and gets another crack at it albeit against better competition
4. Authentic Kingdom (9-2)
First time gelding comes off a layoff for John Servis but needs to improve to win
6. Pay Billy (8-1)
Finished well in the slop in his debut, now adding blinkers and distance which could help at a price

DIRT PICKS: 9-12-1

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RACE 4

2. Six the Hard Way (7-2)
Has been competitive in every race on a dry track amongst this class with good efforts as of late
1. Bootsy’s Merlot (6-1)
When this filly by Congrats doesn’t fall behind early, she can be dangerous with a win two back by ten lengths
8. Magnificent Pearl (2-1)
Has been a bit more consistent than the others, with a recent win over this track at eight furlongs
5. Out of Luck (8-1)
Angelas Party Girl can be played at the right price, but this filly has been sneaky good at Delaware which warrants a look

RACE 5

8. Matt’s Luck (9-2)
Closed well in his lone start, and gets a bit more distance to run into
4. Head of the Class (7-2)
Trending in the right direction with consistent performances and drops slightly in class
6. Pilote Comete (6-1)
Has shown recent improvement against this company with strong speed figures that put him in the mix

RACE 6ON THE TURF

8. Two by Two (5-1)
This deep closer seems to be in a groove recently with some strong efforts over this turf course
7. Trevesso (15-1)
A stakes winner in June, this colt has been inconsistent, but has the top end races and value to be played
3. Uncle Truly (7-2)
Good trainer winning percentage and does well with this jockey; has the backclass and speed figures to win
6. Card Trick (10-1)
Has run well off the bench and has good class on turf with a win two back that compares favorably

DIRT PICKS: 5-1-9

RACE 7

2. Quick Recovery (3-5)
The only runner who has been consistently competitive in this group
4. Tia Mayin (9-2)
Drops in class which may lead to some improvement but needs a sharper break
7. Candy Cafe (8-1)
First time starter gets an edge on this underwhelming field purely off the fact that she may have more upside