Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 16, 2024 * The Racing Biz

Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 16, 2024

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

RACE 1

4. Trechmo Girl (5-1)	May be reaching for more distance, but consistently closes after slow starts and should be in the mix late
3. Heirozan (9-5)	Continues to drop in class, but hasn’t been competitive against better so maybe gets a boost in this company
2. Passing Bayou (3-1)	Improved since the surface change; still needs another step to win against a stronger field

RACE 2

4. Laguardia (10-1)	Ran on a distant fourth in her debut, now facing a weaker field with a chance for improvement
2. Sandi Sue (4-1)	Takes blinkers off to stay off the lead after fading late in her first two tries
6. Selectively Sweet (6-1)	Hasn’t been remotely close in her four tries, but ran against better company which may be enough for a stronger finish

RACE 3

9. Bangkok Bob (5-2)	Significant drop in class leaves this colt as the top contender
2. Millibar (9-2)	Took a step forward with a more aggressive trip last time and comes off a recent bullet work over this track
3. Just for the Money (10-1)	Another class dropper who gets back to an ideal race and has some recent speed figures that may be good enough
8. Let’s Have a Party (6-1)	May have benefited from a slower pace last time but still showed some early speed

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RACE 4 – ON THE TURF

6. Go Take Charge (8-1)	Deep closer has fared well at Delaware, but may need more pace to aim at than is in here
1. Sabi (7-2)	Connections are strong with this runner who has improved with the surface change and drop in class
11. Rum Tum Tugger (15-1)	Gelding by Into Mischief has been successful since switching to turf, now facing better but live at a good price
8. Midnight Award (10-1)	Slight edge over He’s Fancy Free due to better class and recent performances on this surface

DIRT PICKS: 4-9-1

RACE 5

9. Drink This Cup (5-1)	Stidham and Cedeno have been too strong to pass up as they enter with this filly by Stay Thirsty in her first try
7. Hysterics (3-1)	Graham Motion two year old has trained well compared to this group and he has been winning at a 30% clip for the meet
8. Borderline (4-1)	Delacour trainee debuts with Centeno who he has a good record with over the past year
4. Grand Empress (10-1)	Has the experience edge over GeeGee’s Story and gets back to dirt here

RACE 6 – ON THE TURF

5. Stella Mars (8-1)	Classiest of the bunch who is past her racing prime but still should be a win contender with the drop in competition
6. Beastie Girl (15-1)	Good recent performances with a win at Delaware and a late running style that should have her in the mix late
3. Avatal Hero (6-1)	Her last race at a mile on turf showed some promise and a bit more upside than others in here
11. Boardwalk Fries (5-2)	Hasn’t been her best recently, but dropping back down to claiming should lead to a return to form

DIRT PICKS: 7-10-1

RACE 7

6. Hot Fudge Warrior (5-2)	Not only enough speed to be near the lead early, but gets a bump with the class drop from two stakes tries
1. Brzina (8-5)	The most consistent runner of this bunch who has fared well in this class and distance
3. Winkiwinki (8-1)	Coolcalm Collected is dangerous if she gets to the lead, but this mare may be better value and should be aggressive

RACE 8

11. Downpatrick (4-1)	Back to back place finishes show this gelding turning a corner and ready to break through with a win
10. Sunshine Johnny (9-2)	Grey gelding has finished better in three straight races, with a solid jockey trainer combo here
2. Long Astride (5-1)	Finally cutting back to six furlongs after fading in multiple stretch runs at route distances
7. Joel’s Boy (15-1)	An unlikely winner, but frequent races mean this gelding is in good form and should be in the mix