Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 17, 2024
Joseph Aiello- October 17, 2024
Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:
- DATE: October 17, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
- RACES ON CARD: 10
- CARRYOVERS: None
- POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.
RACE 1
| 5. Morales Little Kid (10-1) | Has yet to win over this track in nine tries, but has the speed to be competitive early |
| 8. Wemby (5-2) | Trending up since moving to this track at six furlongs and should be better value than the morning line |
| 9. Inbound (7-2) | Actually ran his best on off tracks this summer, now switching to dirt here |
| 1. Free Drop Bach (12-1) | Good jockey trainer combo should be better with this gelding at this level and distance |
RACE 2
| 3. Termsofengagement (4-1) | Off a long layoff but with some trip versatility and strong races at six furlongs |
| 4. The Judge and Jury (3-2) | Class and speed figures put him amongst the top contenders but he hasn’t been winning |
| 1. Takechargesmiling (7-2) | Early speed and jockey trainer combo gives this one a chance against more experience runners |
RACE 3
| 5. Dantastic (6-1) | Improves with the drop into claiming and can still compete at this level at seven years old |
| 11. Happy Tappy Tim (6-1) | A place in over half of her career starts with good overall consistency in the money |
| 4. Stephanie My Love (6-1) | On a recent stretch of consistent finishes in nearly every start with a run of places so should be there late |
| 1. R Averie Lynn (6-1) | A contender with a more aggressive start even if she hasn’t been as sharp as of late |
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RACE 4 – ON THE TURF
| 8. Replevin (5-1) | Likely won’t be this good of value, but has the class advantage and wins if he runs to his form two back |
| 1. Batter Up (6-1) | Godolphin owned gelding improved with the surface change and cuts back to a better distance |
| 9. Smuggler’s Gold (10-1) | First time on turf and should compete if his speed figures translate to the new surface |
| 5. Hawkstone (4-1) | Two near wins in two tries; still needs a step forward on turf to be a winner |
DIRT PICKS: 9-5-1
RACE 5
| 10. Borracho (6-5) | Past his peak, but still good enough to win at this level with good speed |
| 7. Bar Down Express (10-1) | Half of his efforts at Delaware and all three wins with a good record in the money |
| 4. Infamous Nono (10-1) | Strong meet for Bruce Kravets who sends out this gelding who won here in July |
| 3. Majestic Tiger (12-1) | Drops from allowance level and to a more manageable distance |
RACE 6
| 12. Aristocratic (6-1) | The most experienced runner here by far; has fared well in this class and distance with good early speed |
| 9. Sustenance (15-1) | One of the speedier runners here if he gets back to form with a good track record over this course |
| 4. Callin My Name (10-1) | A return to low level claiming should lead to better results as he may have the most early speed here with a good break |
| 10. Bustin Shout (4-1) | Classier than Magnificent Ride and may improve against lighter competition |
RACE 7 – ON THE TURF
| 10. Dominguez (5-2) | Is a prime contender if he runs his best, but has been up and down even on turf |
| 7. Bialystock (20-1) | Should be good value as he runs against this underwhelming field |
| 5. Miztergrandcentral (8-1) | This gelding is best from off the pace, and has a chance if Centeno keeps him off the lead |
| 1. Bella Carmelina (6-1) | Filly takes on the boys and has at least been competitive at Gulfstream |
DIRT PICKS: 3-10-1
RACE 8
| 3. Spikezone (4-5) | Runs well at Delaware and has the best speed figures of the bunch plus should have the lead |
| 2. Boss Tweed (10-1) | This New York bred goes back to dirt and tests Contessa and Cedeno’s perfect record together in three tries this meet |
| 6. Printrack (9-2) | Takes a step down from a higher level allowance and has some of the best sprint races here |
RACE 9
| 3. Kiss Me Hardy (5-1) | Frequently bet to favorite in this company and has some of the best races at this distance on over this course of the field |
| 2. Doctor Abbie (6-1) | Classy filly is inconsistent but her best puts her in the mix |
| 8. Ginger Girl (6-1) | Perfect at the distance with good efforts off the bench and drops from a stakes try |
| 5. She’sarollingstone (3-1) | Just a bit stronger of a finisher than her stablemate Principia who has early speed but has benefited from slow paces |
RACE 10
| 8. St Pete’s Passion (8-1) | From two straight maidens on off tracks, this colt has improved since running on dirt |
| 3. Endless Reign (10-1) | Good efforts in back to back tries; this one is trending in the right direction |
| 2. Honor the Cross (6-1) | Capuano trainee may not prefer route distance, but has early speed and a good record with Hernandez |
| 5. Bayou Justice (2-1) | By Justify, this Stidham trainee switches to turf and drops into maiden claiming |
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