Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 17, 2024 * The Racing Biz

Delaware Park picks and analysis: October 17, 2024

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

RACE 1

5. Morales Little Kid (10-1)	Has yet to win over this track in nine tries, but has the speed to be competitive early
8. Wemby (5-2)	Trending up since moving to this track at six furlongs and should be better value than the morning line
9. Inbound (7-2)	Actually ran his best on off tracks this summer, now switching to dirt here
1. Free Drop Bach (12-1)	Good jockey trainer combo should be better with this gelding at this level and distance

RACE 2

3. Termsofengagement (4-1)	Off a long layoff but with some trip versatility and strong races at six furlongs
4. The Judge and Jury (3-2)	Class and speed figures put him amongst the top contenders but he hasn’t been winning
1. Takechargesmiling (7-2)	Early speed and jockey trainer combo gives this one a chance against more experience runners

RACE 3

5. Dantastic (6-1)	Improves with the drop into claiming and can still compete at this level at seven years old
11. Happy Tappy Tim (6-1)	A place in over half of her career starts with good overall consistency in the money
4. Stephanie My Love (6-1)	On a recent stretch of consistent finishes in nearly every start with a run of places so should be there late
1. R Averie Lynn (6-1)	A contender with a more aggressive start even if she hasn’t been as sharp as of late

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RACE 4 – ON THE TURF

8. Replevin (5-1)	Likely won’t be this good of value, but has the class advantage and wins if he runs to his form two back
1. Batter Up (6-1)	Godolphin owned gelding improved with the surface change and cuts back to a better distance
9. Smuggler’s Gold (10-1)	First time on turf and should compete if his speed figures translate to the new surface
5. Hawkstone (4-1)	Two near wins in two tries; still needs a step forward on turf to be a winner

DIRT PICKS: 9-5-1

RACE 5

10. Borracho (6-5)	Past his peak, but still good enough to win at this level with good speed
7. Bar Down Express (10-1)	Half of his efforts at Delaware and all three wins with a good record in the money
4. Infamous Nono (10-1)	Strong meet for Bruce Kravets who sends out this gelding who won here in July
3. Majestic Tiger (12-1)	Drops from allowance level and to a more manageable distance

RACE 6

12. Aristocratic (6-1)	The most experienced runner here by far; has fared well in this class and distance with good early speed
9. Sustenance (15-1)	One of the speedier runners here if he gets back to form with a good track record over this course
4. Callin My Name (10-1)	A return to low level claiming should lead to better results as he may have the most early speed here with a good break
10. Bustin Shout (4-1)	Classier than Magnificent Ride and may improve against lighter competition

RACE 7 – ON THE TURF

10. Dominguez (5-2)	Is a prime contender if he runs his best, but has been up and down even on turf
7. Bialystock (20-1)	Should be good value as he runs against this underwhelming field
5. Miztergrandcentral (8-1)	This gelding is best from off the pace, and has a chance if Centeno keeps him off the lead
1. Bella Carmelina (6-1)	Filly takes on the boys and has at least been competitive at Gulfstream

DIRT PICKS: 3-10-1

RACE 8

3. Spikezone (4-5)	Runs well at Delaware and has the best speed figures of the bunch plus should have the lead
2. Boss Tweed (10-1)	This New York bred goes back to dirt and tests Contessa and Cedeno’s perfect record together in three tries this meet
6. Printrack (9-2)	Takes a step down from a higher level allowance and has some of the best sprint races here

RACE 9

3. Kiss Me Hardy (5-1)	Frequently bet to favorite in this company and has some of the best races at this distance on over this course of the field
2. Doctor Abbie (6-1)	Classy filly is inconsistent but her best puts her in the mix
8. Ginger Girl (6-1)	Perfect at the distance with good efforts off the bench and drops from a stakes try
5. She’sarollingstone (3-1)	Just a bit stronger of a finisher than her stablemate Principia who has early speed but has benefited from slow paces

RACE 10

8. St Pete’s Passion (8-1)	From two straight maidens on off tracks, this colt has improved since running on dirt
3. Endless Reign (10-1)	Good efforts in back to back tries; this one is trending in the right direction
2. Honor the Cross (6-1)	Capuano trainee may not prefer route distance, but has early speed and a good record with Hernandez
5. Bayou Justice (2-1)	By Justify, this Stidham trainee switches to turf and drops into maiden claiming