Charles Town picks and analysis: January 11, 2025
The Biz- January 11, 2025
Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:
- DATE: January 11, 2025
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $4,253
- POST TIME: 7:00 p.m.
RACE 1
| 4. Diva’s Demon | Switches into Farrior barn (31% first off the claim at CT) after galloping to graduate; in a race surprisingly light on speed, might be controlling pace presence |
| 9. Christopher’sheart | First in the Frock barn off a couple of decent tries |
| 2. Salty Starkey | Graduated nicely in latest but no match for top choice two back |
RACE 2
| 5. Sparkleinyoureye | Second start off the bench for this Jones trainee; last couple are awful, but this mare isn’t that far removed from races that would win here, and might be an attractive price; trainer-jock combo has a positve ROI |
| 4. Dream Leader | First start since October for lightly raced Grams (19% off similar layoffs) trainee |
| 2. Pipe Dreamin | Need to forgive messy last outing, but there are reasons to do so: sloppy going, tough company may have been too much for her; can improve back in more congenial company |
RACE 3
| 10. Our Lady in Red | Sneaky good try in latest when hopping at the break, rushing up to the lead before tiring in late stages; clean break could put her in the winner’s circle |
| 9. Thundar Cloud | Never worse than third in six tries but just a middling try in latest as 4-5 choice; not quite enthralled enough to take likely short odds on top |
| 7. Heavenly Lady | Jockey Lewis jumps off top choice for this miss; trainer Brown with a positive ROI when horses in maiden claiming company switch into his barn |
RACE 4
| 7. Gran Andrews | 4-for-5 at the trip and 10-for-12 at CT, this veteran has won nine straight over the strip, all at this level; reunited with top pilot Bocachica |
| 5. Mark Did It | Formful sort arrives off an allowance win and was a solid second to top choice three back |
| 3. Gabriel’s Wing | Finished behind top choices four back and drops back into starter company after three middling allowance outings; Figgins barn looking for a bounceback year after uncharacteristic struggles in ’24 |
RACE 5
| 2. Rock of Ages | First-timer has win-early indicators: decent sire record with firsters (11%), solid work tab including a bullet 12/14 and solid gate move 1/3, and 2-of-4 sibs to race won on debut, while the other two finished in the money; trainer Contreras has a positive ROI with debut runners |
| 4. Talented Lino | Uncle Lino gelding is out of an 11-time winner and half to two first-out winners from two to race; trainer Grams had both, and they won their first outings by a combined 20 lengths |
| 9. T Rex Union | Has the experience edge and is moving in the right direction |
RACE 6
| 9. Hey Boots | Willing effort last out when bumped and forced to take back leaving the chute and then widest of all around the turn; cleaner trip probably yields a win |
| 7. Advance Cash | Will be running late in heat with plentiful speed; not that far removed from efforts that win with these |
| 3. Ellie’s Boyfriend | Nice-looking score in latest when wearing down Ship the Goods late; speedster will be in the early pace mix |
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RACE 7
| 1. Lil Miss Honkytonk | Nice-looking score last out after good try despite being fractious in gate on debut; runner-up from maiden score returned to be second a head versus special weight rivals |
| 5. Medallion of Ash | Won nicely at first asking and owns right to improve |
| 4. Crafty Candygram | Return to one-turn trip should aid the cause |
RACE 8
| 1. Peggy’s Way | Speed of the speed draws the rail and arrives off sharp score versus two-in-life company |
| 10. Shared Authority | Gets back to one-turn dash and more modest company; top pair from three-back effort entered that with seven and five wins |
| 3. Whiskey Wild | Consistent sort usually runs decently; caught razor-sharp Blue Trillion in latest |
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