Charles Town: Latest jockey and trainer stats

We catch up on the latest jockey and trainer statistics from Charles Town Races. Who’s hot (and not)?

Arnaldo Bocachica and Marshall Mendez remain one-two among jockeys by wins, with Christian Maldonado creeping closer. On the trainer side, Ronney Brown surged to the front with another strong weekend.

The numbers:

JOCKEY TOP 10 WINS

Arnaldo Bocachica just keeps on keepin’ on: winning at a clip above 30% and dominating the jockey standings to date… Christian Maldonado won four last week to inch closer to the top pair… Five riders have seven wins apiece, just outside the top 10… Four riders remain winless after 10 or more starts this season…

JockeyStartsWinsWin Percentage
Bocachica Arnaldo892831.46%
Mendez Marshall851922.35%
Maldonado Christian1091715.60%
Acosta J D1001111.00%
Lewis Justin M107109.35%
Hiraldo Christian701014.29%
Bocachica O621016.13%
Araujo Denis Vicente45920.00%
Rodriguez V61813.11%
Cruz Angel34823.53%

JOCKEY TOP 10 PERCENTAGE OF PURSE EARNED

Carlos Lopez, who made no starts at CT during the racing week, remains atop the list with four wins in limited action… Lopez is one of five riders not among the top 10 by wins to appear on this list… The top two by wins are second and fourth in percentage of purse earned…

JockeyStartsWinsPct of purse earned
Lopez Carlos Eduardo10429.60%
Bocachica Arnaldo892825.23%
Cruz Angel34820.06%
Mendez Marshall851918.78%
Latchman Reshawn40718.40%
Bocachica Abnel J28415.58%
Trotman Keimar11115.16%
Araujo Denis Vicente45915.15%
Bocachica O621014.81%
Reynolds L C26414.69%

JOCKEY TOP 10 BY WINS ABOVE EXPECTATIONS

The three riding Bocachicas — Arnaldo, his brother Orlando, and his son Abnel — all are among the top seven by wins above expectations, which compares the number of wins a rider or trainer has recorded to the number predicted by the odds of his starters…The full range of wins above expectations is nearly nine, from 2.83 to (-5.95)

JockeyStartsWinsWins above expectations
Bocachica Arnaldo89282.83
Rodriguez V6182.50
Mendez Marshall85192.12
Lopez Carlos Eduardo1042.10
Araujo Denis Vicente4592.02
Bocachica Abnel J2841.87
Bocachica O62101.79
Diaz Sunday Jr4771.78
Cruz Angel3481.69
Chilo Maximo6571.63

TRAINERS TOP 10 BY WINS

The list includes 11, since six trainers have five wins apiece… Ronney Brown won four times this past week to take over the top spot… Kieron Magee has won with five of seven starters at CT thus far; that’s a 71% strike rate… Twenty-three trainers have made seven or more starts without a win…

TrainerStartsWinsWin Pct.
Brown Ronney W1042120.19%
Farrior Anthony761925.00%
Runco Jeff C451022.22%
Contreras Javier451022.22%
Jones Michael E Jr9877.14%
Mangual Manolo16531.25%
Magee Kieron7571.43%
Knudsen Kent26519.23%
Grams Timothy C32515.63%
Gazzier Kristy15533.33%
Atkins Michael G19526.32%

TRAINERS TOP 10 BY PERCENTAGE OF PURSE EARNED

Not surprisingly, Magee, who also has a second-place finish, is tops in percentage of purse earned… Anthony Farrior is the only trainer with more than five wins to appear on this list, which suggests that as more trainers have higher numbers of starts, the list’s composition will change… In general, trainers with high win percentages are represented here, but that’s not the whole picture; also here are trainers like Stephen Murdock, with just a win but also five runner-up finishes from seven starts, and Toschia Spriggs, who has five other in-the-money finishes in addition to her win…

TrainerStartsWinsWin Pct.Pct of purse
Magee Kieron7571.43%46.22%
Gazzier Kristy15533.33%30.29%
Brown Kelton9444.44%29.88%
Murdock Stephen7114.29%26.70%
Deiter Kelly Lynn8225.00%24.89%
Carlisle John C9333.33%23.99%
Sterling Michael E7228.57%23.45%
Farrior Anthony761925.00%22.48%
Spriggs Toschia R10110.00%19.05%
Siculietano Daniel W14428.57%18.91%

TRAINER TOP 10 BY WINS ABOVE EXPECTATIONS

Trainer Ronney Brown leads in wins above expectations, comparing actual wins to what the odds of his runners would have predicted. He has won 4.06 more times than his odds suggest he should have… Jeff Runco is the only other trainer in the top 10 by wins to appear on this list, as well, coming in fourth with 2.85 wins above expectations… The range for all trainers is 4.06 to (-2.75)…

TrainerStartsWinsWins above expectations
Brown Ronney W104214.06
Magee Kieron753.40
Atkins Michael G1952.86
Runco Jeff C45102.85
Mangual Manolo1652.47
Siculietano Daniel W1442.33
Brown Kelton941.98
Gazzier Kristy1551.86
Figgins Ollie L III1741.38
Knudsen Kent2651.36

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